Be Wary of These ETFs if Deflation Gets Really Bad

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Today Minyanville carried a piece entitled Seven ETFs to Play Deflation, which highlighted high dividend paying ETFs and interest paying bond funds. While I agree with the premise IF deflation is mild and US growth is merely slower than normal, I’d be cautious about the dividend funds if we see a wicked wave of deflation […]

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Seems like somebody at the Wall Street Journal has been diligently reading their Contrary Investing Report! Today the Wall Street Journal piled onto the small but growing Deflation Nation Bandwagon, on the heels of warnings about deflation from Jeremy Grantham, Bill Gross, and others: Bond-fund heavyweight Bill Gross, investment manager Jeremy Grantham and hedge-fund managers […]

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Bond legend Bill Gross shared his latest outlook with CNN Money – and I was glad to see him weigh in on deflation in particular: What about the possibility of deflation occurring? We’re in a struggle between inflation and deflation right now. We may never get to a negative consumer price index, but the danger […]

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Despite the Fed’s money printing (errr, quantitative easing) efforts, inflation is not in the cards yet, according to the M1 Money Multiplier.  MULT, as it’s affectionately called, still sits below the magic 1.0 level – and as long as it flounders there, we are unlikely to see inflation, no matter what the Fed does.  Because, […]

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While property prices have plummeted since 2005, mortgage values have not (yet) followed suit, reports HousingStory.net. Check out this chart – it’s worth 1000 (debt deflationary) words! Chart source and commentary courtesy of HousingStory.net Also a hat tip to fellow deflationist Carson for sending this beauty along!

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On Thursday I was en route to Montreal for a wedding, and as luck would have it, I received a phone call from Martin Mittelstaedt from Canada’s Globe and Mail.  Martin was working on a story about deflation investing for Saturday’s globe – a very well-timed piece given the latest CPI numbers, and Friday’s slaughter […]

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Real nice post by Mish Shedlock over on his always excellent blog entitled Are we “Trending Towards Deflation” or in It? I know many readers share my view on the inflation/deflation debate – namely that because we have a credit based economy, the Fed is relatively powerless to stop inflation.  If that’s your take, then […]

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This headline is starting to become a recurring theme.  US consumer credit is in freefall – because, as we all know, the American consumer is FLAT BROKE! BusinessWeek reports: Consumer borrowing in the U.S. dropped in May more than forecast, a sign Americans are less willing to take on debt without an improvement in the […]

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Here’s an interesting debt deflation academic paper that our deflationist pal Carson sent along.  It’s written by Steve Keen from University of Western Sydney.  In the paper, Keen compares the debt deflation environment of the 1930’s with today. Abstract: My 1995 paper on modeling Minsky’s Financial Instability Hypothesis concluded with thestatement that its “chaotic dynamics […]

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Courtesy of Pragmatic Capitalism: Is there a debt problem in the United States?  You better believe it.  But it’s not debt problem everyone is panicking over (the government deficit).  It’s at the private sector level.  This classic balance sheet recession has consumers saddled with debt.  Peter Cecchini, chief strategist at BGC Financial LP says there […]

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