This Weird Disconnect Sets Us Up for 7% Dividends, Upside, Post-Crisis

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The Contrary Investing Report > NASDAQ:AMZN

If you’re like most people, you’re wondering how in the world the market can be doing this when the country has been on lockdown for the better part of two months:

Stocks Soaring

As you can see above, stocks spiked 22% since late March, going by the performance of the Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF (VTI). Meantime, the economy is a shadow of its former self: the Federal Reserve expects it to shrink 40% in the second quarter—worse than the 23% drop seen at the depths of the Great Depression.

Before you ask, no, this disconnect isn’t a recipe for another crash.… Read more

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Mainstream financial channels have made a big deal out of the current relief rally (“Is it a ‘V-shaped’ recovery?” they comically muse). Whether it’s a V, W,  L, Nike swoosh or (my favorite) bathtub, the fact is that most stocks are still down on the mat.

(This is no surprise. The average bear market lasts 12 to 18 months. We are just beginning month three—yikes.)

The well-known S&P 500 always leads the headlines. Five hundred of America’s blue-chip firms, sounds like a pretty good sample size, no?

In 2020… no. The index is weighted by market cap, giving favor to Microsoft (MSFT), Apple (AAPL) and Amazon (AMZN)—its top three holdings—which have outperformed the market by a wide margin recently.… Read more

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Today, I’m going to show you how to find fat dividend opportunities in washed-out sectors. Let’s start with retail, where the hits just keep coming. (And the result is a few sky-high yields. Too good to be true? Let’s explore.)

You know the story by now. Amazon.com (AMZN) pioneered e-commerce, taking it from an interesting tech niche to the retail-reaper it is today. The numbers tell it all, as Statista estimates retail e-commerce sales will nearly double between 2018 and 2024.

Yes, the overall retail pie is growing, but not nearly as fast as e-commerce is. In other words, e-commerce is increasingly gnawing on brick-and-mortar’s lunch.… Read more

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When it comes to protecting—and growing—your dividends (and portfolio) in these trying times, there are two sectors you should watch like a hawk: technology and energy.

Both are standouts in this crisis, but in completely different ways. Energy, for example, is a big reason why the second-quarter earnings outlook for the S&P 500 looks so grim:

Take a look at the chart below and you’ll see that energy is by far the biggest loser. Along with a few other industries, it offsets other areas where profits are forecast, such as tech, utilities and healthcare—all three of which are also great spots to shop for big dividends now.… Read more

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Are we kicking off another episode of the “Roaring 20s” today?

Who knows. Nobody really predicted the 2010s would be an end-to-end bull market. Yet the most hated rally of all-time resulted in stocks nearly quadrupling:

The Epic Rally Few Investors Believed In

A million bucks that sat in a boring S&P 500 fund a decade ago would have grown to $3.5 million. Unfortunately, many experienced investors did not participate in this full rally, still being shell-shocked after 2008.

(Which illustrates why it is important to always be fully invested. Investors who slept through the ’08 carnage quickly made their money back in the years to follow.… Read more

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If you flip on the financial news this Friday, or click over to your favorite stock website, you’re going to see headlines about retail stocks. After all, they can’t have a Black Friday without weighing in on immediate winners and losers!

In recent years, the retail sector has produced many more losers than winners. Amazon (AMZN) is blamed as the brick-and-mortar-killer, taking down not only unimaginative retailers but also the landlords that rent to them.

The carnage even extends to shopping center rentiers like Macerich (MAC). It promises a 10.2% yield, but this inflated payout is due to a stock that split “the wrong way”—halving in price without the increase in sales!… Read more

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Here’s the funny thing about the inverted-yield-curve talk we’re getting hit with lately: most people are looking at the wrong numbers!

I’m going to show you how we savvy dividend investors can jump on this mistake to bag total returns of 69% and up—fast. First, here’s what I mean when I say investors are looking at the wrong numbers.

These days, all we hear about is the yield-curve inversion we’ve seen a couple times over the last few weeks, where the yield on the 10-year Treasury note fell below that of the 2-year.

It’s certainly worth paying attention to, because the inversion of the 10- and 2-year Treasury yields does predict recessions—though the timeline tends to be around 18 months and maybe even longer than that.… Read more

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“Hey Brett – is it time for us to sell MPW?”

Nothing makes subscribers more anxious to bank gains like a 105% winner! That’s what Medical Properties Trust (MPW) has delivered to us since we bought it in November 2015. Funny thing is, I’ve been getting questions about selling the stock since it was a mere double-digit gain for us. It’s a good thing we let this winner run!

Why We Let Our Winners Run

It’s especially important to let winners run when they are growing their dividend consistently. There’s rarely any reason to actually sell a stock if the company is consistently growing its profits and dishing them to shareholders.… Read more

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Ignore the doomsayers: 2019 is setting up to be a strong year for equities—and a great year for dividend investors like us.

I know this might surprise you, so let’s break it down. Further on I’ll give you 5 funds (with dividends up to 11.5%!) that are flashing buy signals you can’t afford to ignore.

So why am I so bullish on the year ahead?

Thanks to the record-breaking profit growth we’ve seen in 2018, along with continued steady gains in employment and wages, there’s little reason to believe next year will bring the big downturn everyone’s worrying about. Instead, the Fed’s prudent scaling back of interest-rate hikes should fuel more growth.… Read more

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You may be surprised to hear that big hedge-fund honchos are struggling with the exact same question you probably are when it comes to tech stocks: are they pricey or cheap?

The good news? I have the answer for you—and a little further on, I’m going to name one fund that taps straight into that answer to hand you rich 5% dividends, plus the massive upside tech is renowned for.

But before we get to that, let’s look at why the biggest names on Wall Street disagree on this question, and the one dead-obvious indicator that many of them have walked right by.… Read more

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