The Contrary Investing Report
Investing and Trading News, with a Contrarian, Sarcastic Twist!


Harry Dent’s Outlook on Demographics, Debt, and Deflation – An Exclusive Interview

by Brett on September 2, 2010

This morning, I had the fortunate opportunity to speak with demographic trend expert and economic researcher Harry S. Dent.  It was a great conversation and we covered a lot of topics, including the demographic outlook in America, the inflation/deflation argument, potential inflection points for the stock market based on spending wave turning points, and more.
I had [...]

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Gold $1500 is the Most Popular Trade Amongst Traders

by Brett on September 1, 2010

Gold, the beloved investment pick that is still being heralded as a one-way trade to the moon, is getting some $1500 love from traders.  Bloomberg reports:

Investors are accumulating enough bullion to fill Switzerland’s vaults twice over as gold’s most- accurate forecasters say the longest rally in at least nine decades has further to go no [...]

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Why Baby Boomers are Working Til They Drop

September 1, 2010

Well, you probably know the answer – because their retirement nest eggs have unfortunately been turned sunny side up by the 2007-2009 stock market crash.  Private pension plans are toast – they’ll never be able to deliver on the expected returns required to keep those legalized ponzi schemes going.  And forget about our social safety [...]

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Well, We Got That Oversold Bounce – Now What?

September 1, 2010

Today, we got that bounce in stocks that we thought might be coming – from yesterday’s stock market wrap:
I’m not sure if I’d initiate a new S&P short position at this juncture – as the contrarian in me thinks we’ve got to see some sort of short-term pop soon.  Markets rarely cooperate with broader prevailing [...]

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Questions for Demographics and Deflation Expert Harry Dent?

September 1, 2010

Exciting news for fellow deflation and demographic aficionados - tomorrow I’ll be speaking with Harry Dent, author most recently of the book The Great Depression Ahead.
Let me know if you have any questions you’d like me to ask Harry – just leave a comment below, or you’re also always welcome to email me directly!
I plan to record [...]

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Bull Market in “Problem Banks” Continues – FDIC Reports 829 of Them

August 31, 2010

The FDIC released its Quarterly Banking Profile for the 2nd quarter of 2010 today, and listed 829 banks as “problem” banks, up from 775 in Q1. (Full Story at Calculated Risk).
And here’s a nice chart put together by the Calculated Risk guys as well, showing the ebb and flow of problem banks since 1990.  Despite [...]

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Greek Bond Yields on the Rise – Again – Close to a Breakout

August 31, 2010

Would you believe that the 10 year bond yields on Greece debt are close to breaking out – again?
Greece bond yields on the rise (Source: Bloomberg.com)
Looks like $1 trillion only kicks the can down the road a few months!
A trip down memory lane: Chucking at the Greece bailout when reported on May 11, 2010.
Also, why [...]

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Why Current Bearish Analyst Sentiment May Be a Contrary Indicator

August 31, 2010

We always love a good contrary indicator!  And here’s a great one from Barry Ritholtz on his always-excellent blog entitled Are Wall Street Analysts Contrary Indicators?
As we have noted so many times previously, following the Wall Street crowd of analysts is rarely the way to make money.
Collectively, the analyst community has turned excessively bearish, versus [...]

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The S&P Languishes – Again – Around Key Support at 1040

August 31, 2010

Not much new on Wall Street today – another lazy day in late summer.  Stocks continue to churn on anemic volume just above key support levels:
The S&P continues to mill about just above its key support at 1040. (Source: StockCharts.com)
Meanwhile, it seems like most investors are well aware of the fact that September is historically [...]

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The Hindenburg Omen Revealed – What Does it Mean for Stocks?

August 31, 2010

The Hindenburg Omen — Omen-ous or Not?
Elliott Wave International Chief Market Analyst Steve Hochberg Sheds Light on a Feared Technical Indicator
August 31, 2010
By Elliott Wave International
On Aug. 12, volatile market action coincided with a technical signal called the Hindenburg Omen, whereby a relatively high number of new highs and lows in individual stocks occur at [...]

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