A 10.6% Dividend (with 156% upside) Hiding in Plain Sight

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The Contrary Investing Report > NYSE:XLE

We’re going to push aside overdone recession fears today, so I can show you one fund you can buy for triple-digit upside. And this unsung dividend play spins off a big income stream, too: a 10.6% yield.

It comes from a sector few people check for high yields: energy.

But this investor “blind spot” is why this 10.6% dividend opportunity exists. Read on and I’ll show you how to time your move (if you were to buy this fund or invest in energy generally).

First off, forget the jarring headlines you’ve seen about a corporate-earnings slowdown in the US. When you dive into the sector level, you see that the outlook is rosy in plenty of places, with energy leading the way, according to the analyst crowd.… Read more

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Energy stocks are en fuego again after a drone strike on a Saudi oil facility. We’re going to (as usual) skip the geopolitical talk and discuss oil dividends that will benefit from this disruption.

While “buy and hope” investors ponder basic ways to play the spike, you and I know that about half of energy returns come from payouts. Check out the orange line below, the total return of a popular energy index with dividends. It’s nearly double what the stock prices themselves returned:

The Real Key to Oil Riches? Dividends.

No dividend is guaranteed forever. But broadly speaking, income has been a far more reliable source of energy-sector returns than price performance, making up nearly half of energy’s total returns since late 1998.… Read more

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Let’s face it: you hardly ever get decent income from commodity stocks. And when you do, these payouts are usually first to get the axe next time, say, oil nosedives.

And with oil doing this…

Oil Falls—Oil Companies’ Profits to Follow

… you may worry that it’s about to get harder to squeeze income out of oil companies.

Still, if you’re worried about inflation or the Federal Reserve distorting markets, or if you just want to hedge your stock portfolio, you’ll likely turn to commodities at some point. And there’s no more established inflation hedge than gold.

There’s just one problem: gold doesn’t produce anything.… Read more

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Oil prices have been locked in a tight range for five years—and I know I don’t have to tell you that this has been a disaster for energy investors.

Oil Fails to Launch

With the benchmark Energy Select Sector SPDR (XLE) unable to hold its gains for long (let alone recover to pre-crash levels), even the most conservative energy investor has been clobbered.

Why is this happening?

After all, you’d think a growing global population and emerging-market growth would drive up the price of a limited resource like oil. But the tables have turned. I’ll get into why shortly.

These Dividend Payers Are Better Buys Than Oil

For now, though, I recommend that income-seekers go a different route and pick stocks (and closed-end funds [CEFs]) that benefit from cheaper oil and gas—like utilities.… Read more

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The 2019 rebound has done a lot to revive most people’s portfolios. But there’s a new trap you need to dodge as the market ticks up: the risk you’ll stumble into an overbought stock (or fund).

But don’t take that to mean stocks are pricey—far from it! The S&P 500 is barely up from the start of 2018 and still far from its all-time highs, which is ridiculous when you consider last year’s near-20% earnings growth.

So it’s pretty easy to see that stocks are still ripe for buying.

But there is one sector I am worried about—and it brings me to the first of 3 closed-end funds (CEFs) I want to warn you about today.… Read more

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The 2019 rebound has done a lot to revive most people’s portfolios. But there’s a new trap you need to dodge as the market ticks up: the risk you’ll stumble into an overbought stock (or fund).

But don’t take that to mean stocks are pricey—far from it! The S&P 500 is barely up from the start of 2018 and still far from its all-time highs, which is ridiculous when you consider last year’s near-20% earnings growth.

So it’s pretty easy to see that stocks are still ripe for buying.

But there is one sector I am worried about—and it brings me to the first of 3 closed-end funds (CEFs) I want to warn you about today.… Read more

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Today I’m going to show you why this market isn’t as spooked as you might think. Then I’m going to reveal the 1 sector (and 1 fund boasting an incredible 8.7% dividend yield) that’s a screaming bargain now.

Let’s start with the state of play as I write this.

Here’s a question: of the 11 sectors that make up the S&P 500, how many do you think are negative for 2018?

If you said more than 5, the pessimism of the financial press has tainted your worldview. Take a look at this table:

5 in the Red, 5 in the Green

A close look at the 11 sectors of the S&P 500 is crucial, because we quickly see that 5 sectors are green, 5 are down and 1 is flat for 2018.… Read more

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If you’re like many income investors I hear from, you’re probably worried about a repeat of 2008. The media doesn’t help – the talking heads like to conjure up fear because it draws eyeballs to the TV screen and clicks to Internet articles.

And so what if they’re right for once? In a moment we’ll discuss the safest dividends for a serious pullback.

First, let me calm you down and add that a 2008 rerun is not our most likely scenario. As generals tend to fight the last war, investors tend to fear the last bear market. The next bear is likely to have its own unique “charm” – causes and effects – and we’d like to figure out that flavor ahead of time.… Read more

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Remember early February’s stock-market rout?

I know. Seems like a weird question. It was just a few weeks ago, after all. But many folks seem to have forgotten how stocks fell 10% from their 2018 high in a matter of days:

Amnesia Sets In

As you can see, the benchmark SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY) is already recovering, and stocks are now up 3.3% for 2018. That’s still well below the 8% climb we saw in January alone, but it’s a solid return, and it means more (formerly) skittish folks will likely trickle their cash into stocks, keeping the market buoyant.…
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What if I told you that you could reap huge dividends (I’m talking life-changing 15% payouts) and quick upside from … the weather?

I’m talking about the bone-chilling polar vortex, which, especially if you live on the US east coast, probably already has you feeling winter weary—and we’re only in mid-January.

I’ll show you 3 beaten-down funds at the center of our “polar-vortex profit plan” in a moment. But first, here are the raw numbers behind this opportunity for income and gains.

A Heat Map for Frigid Times

Since it’s freezing outside, it makes sense to warm our hearts with a heat map—and there’s no better heat map than the one for the S&P 500.…
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