Even Jay Powell seemed lost.
“The thing I want to emphasize is that nobody knows,” the beleaguered Fed chair sighed at last week’s presser, when asked about the effects of the latest flare-up in the Middle East.
It’s easy to see why. The poor man is in a jam not of his making. Futures markets see fewer and fewer rate cuts on the horizon. And more forecasts see a bounce in inflation—maybe even stagflation.
To be sure, no one at the Fed (or anywhere else) had $100 oil on their bingo card in January!
The mainstream crowd, of course, is just as shocked as the experts at that development.… Read more

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