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The Contrary Investing Report

Investing and Trading News, with a Contrarian, Sarcastic Twist!

Dividends are one of the most important features of any investment in my portfolio. But it’s crucial to also examine the sustainability of a stock’s dividend before you invest your hard-earned cash.

For instance, a high-yield stock might offer a dividend of 10% … but who cares if its share price falls off a cliff, or it eliminates that once-generous dividend in the months ahead?

There are a ton of data points at our fingertips in a digital age that can help us invest wisely. But the sheer volume of facts and figures can be overwhelming, and obscure what really matters.… Read more

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I hate to hear about investors using “rules” like the 60/40 portfolio (where you devote 60% of your holdings to stocks and the rest to bonds) to invest their hard-earned cash.

The problem with “rules” like this one is that they lack the ability to adjust to changing markets, like the mess we’ve been living through this year, which has walloped stocks and bonds in equal measure.

Advisors See the Light on Oversimplified “Rules” Like the 60/40 Portfolio

It seems like advisors and the business media are finally accepting this hard truth. Recently, banks like Goldman Sachs (GS) and JPMorgan Chase & Co.Read more

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I recently joined Market Wrap to chat with Moe Ansari about the market. With most money managers, Joe Sixpack and CNBC now universally bearish, he was keen to hear an original take!

The time to dump stocks, I told Moe, was early in the year. Or late ’21. Before the mainstream media even whispered the words bear market. Now that just about everything is 20% down, we have professional stock cheerleaders like The Wall Street Journal lamenting that buying the dip isn’t working.

A contrarian sign that this dip should be bought? Perhaps…

Moe and I yapped about the Federal Reserve (of course), the doom and gloom mainstream crowd, and my two favorite dividend stocks to buy right now.… Read more

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Bear markets are great for calculated contrarian investors like us. We have many dividend growers in the bargain bin.

I mean, it’s rarely this stuffed. We have lots to sort through today. Specifically we’ll talk about 43 dividend payers that are about to announce their next payout hikes.

Most of these stocks are cheaper than they were at the start of the year. Some are quite a bit discounted. Plus, these upcoming dividend raises are the perfect announcements for us to front run.

Why? Because once the news becomes public, the “dividend magnet” will pull these prices higher.

Dividend Growth + The “Dividend Magnet”

The “dividend magnet” is my favorite financial phenomenon.… Read more

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For some folks, it’s almost a reflex to buy gold when inflation hits or volatility ramps up. In times like those, they simply flock to the yellow metal—no questions asked.

But buying gold as a safe haven is a terrible idea, for one simple reason: it doesn’t work.

The dumpster fire year we’re living through now provides an excellent example of gold’s ineffectiveness as an inflation hedge: while inflation soared (it sits at 8.3% as of August), gold has gone the other way, plunging 6.4% since January 1.

That lousy performance isn’t just a one-off. Gold has actually fallen 7% in the last decade.Read more

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I’m admittedly a bit of a science geek. I’m glued to my phone for the latest details on the Artemis launch, I know the names of most muscles and bones, and I have memorized way too many strange facts about strange animals.

A scientifically minded approach has served me well in investing. And it’s not just in the obvious ways, through rigorous research and attention to hard numbers. The “softer” sciences of psychology and sociology also have a lot to teach us about investor behavior – and why some people make costly mistakes.

I recently read about a study conducted by Johns Hopkins researchers on the power of ignoring things.… Read more

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Plenty of folks are starting to look toward the new year, and I’m getting a lot of questions about my outlook for high-yield closed-end funds (CEFs) for the rest of ’22 and into ’23.

Of course, no one has a crystal ball when it comes to CEFs, stocks or the economy in the short run, but my take is that we’ll likely see continued volatility in the back end of 2022, with better conditions in 2023, as the so-called “terminal rate” of the Fed’s hiking cycle comes into view.

Luckily, there are CEFs out there called covered-call funds that are purpose-built for this environment, handing us safe 7%+ dividends that actually get stronger when volatility picks up.… Read more

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I wouldn’t freak out now. In fact, I’d use this market swoon to go shopping—and pick up dividends for dimes on the dollar.

My favorite idea today is an 8.5% yield that—amazingly—trades at a 28% discount to its NAV (net asset value). That’s a dollar for 72 measly cents!

I’ll share the specifics in a minute. First, let’s calm down. The time to sell was five short weeks ago, when we discussed the likelihood that another short-term top was in:

I’m talking about the dividend dogs that, if we’re being honest, are not deserving of long-term positions in our retirement portfolios.

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Don’t be drawn in by this spiking 2-year Treasury yield. Even at just north of 4%, we’re still not retiring off of it!

Think about it for a second: for a ho-hum 4.2%, you’re locking up your cash for two years. Sure, you’ll get your principal back, but you’re still way behind inflation. And it’s almost certain that stocks will be higher two years out, so you’ll miss out on that gain, too.

I say that because the average bear market lasts about 10 months. This is month nine. We don’t get a free pizza if it ends at the 10-month mark.… Read more

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The US consumer just got a $162-billion “pay raise,” and I’m betting you haven’t heard a word about it. Today, we’re going to tap that “extra” cash through a 6.6%-yielding fund that trades at 87 cents on the dollar.

What I’m getting at is the good news story we’ve heard little about in the media: the extra cash consumers are pocketing thanks to the recent plunge in gasoline prices.

It’s no small amount, either: according to Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody’s Analytics, US households save about $125 billion in total for every dollar the price at the pump drops. And with average pump prices now around $3.70 a gallon, down from north of $5 in June, we’re looking at about $162 billion being thrown back into the economy, or around $13 billion a month. Read more

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