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Spent part of my weekend reading Bob Prechter’s latest newsletter, which is always thought provoking. The folks on his team were kind enough to allow us to republish this article from the April issue of Bob’s Elliott Wave Theorist. In terms of technical and sentiment analysis, I think Prechter is second to none. He’s been […]
Fellow contrarians know that we’ve been watching the crude oil market for a sign of where this rally may be heading. Right now, crude looks absolutely gassed. It dropped below it’s 200 day moving average last week (yes, the 200-day MA that we love to watch) – and has just managed to bounce up a […]
Checking in on Some Key Charts Major indices hit new recovery highs today, with the DOW hitting it’s highest mark in the last 18 months. Trading volume remains tepid, however – as you can see from this chart of the S&P 500, this recent rally appears to lack some conviction: Rallies have been occurring on […]
On Monday, I penned a piece for Casey’s Daily Dispatch that highlighted the investment and geopolitical conclusions that our local “phyle” reached during our most recent meeting. Last night our Sacramento Phyle got together at a local restaurant to banter about the usual talk you’d expect to overhear at such a place – like government […]
Last week our local “Casey Research Phyle” got together at a local restaurant to banter about the usual talk you’d expect to overhear at such a place – like government confiscation of retirement plans, expatriation, wiring money to Central America, and our favorite shorting techniques – you know, the usual. In these turbulent economic and […]
A few weeks ago I glowingly declared that the bear was back in charge, and that the new trend was down. Channeling Lee Corso – not so fast, my friend! It’s been a strong retracement of the Jan-Feb decline: Markets have rebounded – from oversold in Feb, to overbought in March! (Source: Yahoo finance) BUT […]
Regular readers are aware that we’ve been watching the Chinese market as a potential leading indicator for US equity markets for some time. Our astute readers aside, of course, the average financial slob (or pundit, if you will) seems unaware that the Shanghai Composite topped way back in August. When I posted this chart and […]
Regular readers know that I’m a big fan of Bob Prechter’s investment analysis. One of my favorite aspects of his work is the use of sentiment indicators as a market timing mechanism – that is, when everyone is bearish, you should be greedy, and when everyone is bullish, you should run for the hills. In […]
Bernanke – man of the year. Did he earn it? Or pushing on a string? Markets Strong Out of the Gates…But How Much Conviction is Left? The broader indices continued to climb higher in the first week of trading in 2010. But how much buying power is behind these moves? Moves straight up usually don’t […]
This shot says it all – the “all the same markets” hypothesis is still in play. Why bother with diversification when all the markets move in tandem? (Source: Barchart.com) Hat tip to Robert Prechter, who I believe was the first to point out the increasing correlation between every asset class, as far back as 2004. […]
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