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Happy New Year…and New Decade! Let’s dive into some of the top investment themes to keep an eye on in 2010…but first, a haiku: 09 Reflation Can it continue for long? Dollar may foil! 1. The US Dollar: The Linchpin The dollar, which topped out in early March roughly around the time the stock market […]
Trading is, as you know, an inexact science. So while we *think* it’s likely that the dollar has put in a major bottom, a cross above its 200-day moving average would significantly reinforce this hypothesis. The dollar tests it’s 200 day MA. (Source: WSJ.com) We’re not there yet, but we’re getting close. A push above […]
On Sunday, I mused that one of my deepest concerns about being bullish on the US Dollar is that I’m on the opposite side of the trade from Jim Rogers, who thinks the buck is doomed. Not so, pointed out astute reader Sibbie via email, citing a recent Rogers interview in BusinessWeek: Q: How much […]
So Gold CAN Still Go Down, After All Last week was shaping up to be another banner one for gold, as the old relic kept on climbing, day after day…that is, until it stopped. Gold’s one-way rise experienced a sharp setback on Friday, dropping nearly $50 on the day, and over $60 in intraday measures. […]
Tom Dyson, one of my favorite investment writers/analysts, is also one of the very few lone soles left in the debt deflation / dollar bull camp (last one out, please turn out the lights!) Last week, Tom penned an article that I thought articulated the case for a near term dollar rally brilliantly – and […]
Dubai’s Meltdown The Thanksgiving holiday is traditionally a very slow time for the markets…not so this year! Dubai rocked the financial world with its announcement to debtors that it needed a bit more time to make good on outstanding debt payments. Uh oh – here we go again? Global markets reacted quite violently to the […]
Coast to coast flights are fantastic for getting uninterrupted reading time in, and on my flight back to the West Coast last Monday, I was able to devour Financial Reckoning Day Fallout: Surviving Today’s Global Depression, by Bill Bonner and Addison Wiggin. Bonner and Wiggin are the two top guys at Agora Financial, an extremely […]
This epic stock market rally has done exactly what it was supposed to do – it’s retraced about half of the losses from the previous crash. It’s got folks feeling comfortable again – while maybe not outright enthusiastic about things, they now believe the carpet is not going to be pulled out from under them. […]
With the markets at a potential inflection point (an inflection point down, in my humble opinion), I thought it’d be fun and instructive to revisit a topic we’ve noodled on a bit lately. Does News Actually Drive the Financial Markets? It’s common knowledge that increasing earnings drive stock prices – with the only caveat being […]
From London’s The Independent comes the latest report of the dollar’s impending implosion – in an article fittingly titled The Demise of the Dollar. In the most profound financial change in recent Middle East history, Gulf Arabs are planning – along with China, Russia, Japan and France – to end dollar dealings for oil, moving […]
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