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Thoughts on the commodity futures markets as we put a wrap up on the week: Oil topping 140 as I write – this market continues to defy gravity. Too scary for me to try and play either side of this market. The Fed’s decision to stay put (a real shocker) really put a kick start […]
Sticking with the rules here, I’m now into cotton and sugar on their respective breakouts. Still like the live cattle and added some longer dated contracts this week. Will probably not add to this position, as it’s heavy enough. Got scared out of corn early – I ended up selling at the break even mark. […]
I find it’s always good to check your assumptions periodically. It’s even better to check them again. And better yet to recheck them one more time. I have a long term belief that the commodity bull still has years to run. And it’s refreshing to step back, look at the big picture (especially on down […]
Open Positions Date Position Qty Month/Yr Contract Strike Call/Put Entry Price Last Price Profit/Loss 06/12/08 Long 1 SEP 08 Corn 734 1/4 768 1/2 $1,712.50 05/08/08 Long 1 OCT 08 Live Cattle 105.350 109.950 $1,840.00 05/09/08 Long 1 OCT 08 Live Cattle 106.700 109.950 $1,300.00 06/11/08 Long 1 SEP 08 Wheat 867 3/4 907 1/2 […]
Looks like this corn crop is toast, and the other grains could be in trouble too. High input costs (diesel, fertilizer, etc) are really hammering farmers and their motivation to replant crops this late in the year. I ponied up for a wheat and a corn contract last night. A little bummed I got into […]
Hell, I really took it on the chin last week, particularly toward the end of the week. I wasn’t sure what to do – so I figured when in doubt, get out! Nothing seemed to be acting well – corn especially appears to be a disappointment. I’d rather sit on the sidelines and reevaluate, rather […]
In an indication the commodities boom may not be the bubble imagined, Mr Lipsky said the forces pushing prices up “appear to be fundamental in nature” – and these were being amplified by lower US interest rates and the dollar’s decline. Full article
Open Positions Date Position Qty Month/Yr Contract Strike Call/Put Entry Price Last Price Profit/Loss 04/15/08 Long 2 JUL 08 Corn 605 628 1/2 $2,350.00 04/29/08 Long 1 OCT 08 Live Cattle 103.850 107.050 $1,280.00 04/30/08 Long 1 OCT 08 Live Cattle 104.350 107.050 $1,080.00 05/08/08 Long 1 OCT 08 Live Cattle 105.350 107.050 $680.00 05/09/08 […]
Same story we’ve been following here. A nice rally in the grains today, and a little bit of life in the softs as well. Can corn continue to break out from here? It’s been rangebound for the past couple of months – I keep thinking that fundamentals will eventually prevail and push corn past the […]
Better to be lucky than good – my accidental rice short on my exit ended up being a very nice trade. Looking back I covered too early, but oh well…lucky entry anyway, I was scared of being too greedy. Not much doing now – commodities are pretty much experiencing a correction across the board. Yen […]
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