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I have to admit – I think the Great Deleveraging permanently seared my psyche. I haven’t been the same since. It’s for the best. Until you live, and invest, through an event like that, I don’t think you can appreciate the awesomeness of the destruction. A history book just doesn’t do it justice. When it […]
On Tuesday evening, we had our monthly meeting of local Casey Research subscribers. Really sharp investment minds in the group – it’s a real pleasure and treat to chat about a wide variety of finance and investing related issues. The general consensus of the group (fairly contrarian in nature) is that gold and cash are […]
I hope you had a good, long holiday weekend. I sure did…I mentioned at the end of the week that I’d be blogging when I wasn’t drinking beer. As you can probably infer from my lack of posts, I managed to put back a few with some good friends! Back in the saddle now, I […]
The severe supply/demand imbalance in sugar fundamentals has propelled sugar prices to a 28-year high. The big driver of the rally has been India – which, as we reported earlier this year, has turned into a net importer of sugar. As you can see below, sugar prices are starting to go “parabolic.” Commodity rallies typically […]
It’s been a manic start to the week for commodities and currencies…deflation was “back” yesterday, with investors running back to the dollar…and today inflation was the focus, with the dollar getting dumped! Last evening, we observed that sugar was standing tall amidst an across the board selloff in commodities. Well today, that strength carried through […]
If you have the majority of your savings in US dollars, this may be the most important insight you ever hear from Jim Rogers. In an interview with Bloomberg from this morning, Rogers said: “We’re going to have a currency crisis, probably this fall or the fall of 2010. It’s been building up for a […]
This morning, I authored a guest piece for the folks at Commodity News Center, breaking down the recent sugar rally. Regular readers will be quite familiar with the fundamental factors discussed. I always try to constantly re-examine my assumptions to make sure I’m not falling in love with a trade – if you’ve got a […]
A recent piece in The Economist highlighted the recent strength of agriculture prices in the face of the downturn, and the reason for it. Though prices of the meats, grains, and softs are still off their 2008 highs – they’re not off by much anymore – as commodities such as cotton, soybeans, and sugar are […]
Milton Friedman said that inflation is “always and everywhere a monetary phenomenon.” Judging by the recent price action in many of the soft and agricultural commodities, they appear to agree. Ben Bernanke, a student of the Great Depression, is making a bet the Friedman was wrong. Bernanke believes that because Friedman did much of his […]
Sugar Futures Surge to a 6-Month High Sugar futures rallied nearly 4% on Friday, over half a cent, to close the week at 14.18. Looks like we’ve got a new breakout to the upside! Sugar futures continue their steady climb. (Source: Barchart.com) The market continued to focus on the news that India may turn into […]
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