Japanese Stimulus Spending History: Kinda Like Crack Cocaine

The Contrary Investing Report

Investing and Trading News, with a Contrarian, Sarcastic Twist!

Astute reader Shaun forwarded along a great email with his thoughts about the sovereign debt situation, and included a couple of fantastic charts that illustrate examples from Japan and Argentina.  Both charts are courtesy of Reggie Middleton’s excellent BoomBustBlog. The first item we’ll explore is Japan, a nation that has become increasingly hooked on public […]

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Nice op-ed piece by Silicon Valley guru Andy Kessler in the Wall Street Journal recently: From early May through last week, the market dropped 1500 points into the pit, on the backs of gushing BP oil, riots in Europe, a 30% drop in pending home sales and the news that maybe your next door neighbor […]

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Last week we reported that acclaimed fund manager John Hussman wrote that he believed the S&P overvalued by 40%. In his latest newsletter, Hussman revisits the fundamental valuation of US equities – with a couple of interesting ratios and charts as well.  Hussman writes: I can’t emphasize enough that when you hear an analyst say […]

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GoldAlert.com reports that bullish sentiment towards gold prices has hit its lowest levels in 19 months: Bullish sentiment toward the gold price continues to drop, evidenced by the current 60% Market Vane Bullish Consensus reading on gold. This is the lowest level since December 9, 2008 – a few weeks after the gold price plunged […]

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While property prices have plummeted since 2005, mortgage values have not (yet) followed suit, reports HousingStory.net. Check out this chart – it’s worth 1000 (debt deflationary) words! Chart source and commentary courtesy of HousingStory.net Also a hat tip to fellow deflationist Carson for sending this beauty along!

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Sometimes I naturally assume that most “startup minded” people are folks who lean fairly strongly towards the free market.  They typically are tolerant of government at best, and hostile towards it at worst (and I myself, I admit, lean towards the latter!) So when my wife sent along this guest column Intel legend Andy Grove […]

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In Jeremy Grantham’s latest quarterly newsletter (which is always a must-read, IMHO), he says he’s throwing his hat in the deflation camp for the near future, at least: Well, I, for one, am more or less willing to throw in the towel on behalf of Inflation. For the near future at least, his adversary in […]

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On Thursday I was en route to Montreal for a wedding, and as luck would have it, I received a phone call from Martin Mittelstaedt from Canada’s Globe and Mail.  Martin was working on a story about deflation investing for Saturday’s globe – a very well-timed piece given the latest CPI numbers, and Friday’s slaughter […]

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Since the stock market put in a short term bottom a couple of weeks ago (thanks to overwhelming pessimism), the mini-rally since has been a one-way street UP – until today. This has been the trend of the market since about 2003 or so – it’s either up for many consecutive time periods (like 2003-2007, […]

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Silicon Valley author and visionary Andy Kessler gave a great interview with TechCrunch on the state of the economy and the future of innovation.  It’s a great watch – the 5-part series is embedded below (hat tip: TechCrunch TV) If you’re not familiar with Kessler, you should definitely check him out.  He’s a super smart […]

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