Why Trade Deficits Don’t Matter, and Other Knocks to Common Wisdom

The Contrary Investing Report

Investing and Trading News, with a Contrarian, Sarcastic Twist!

Nice job by our friends over at Hard Assets Investor with a great interview of Marc Chandler, who is head of currency strategy at Brown Brothers Harriman. About 8-minutes in running time, and I’d say definitely worth a watch. Chandler has some interesting (dare I say – contrarian?) views on: Trade deficits – they don’t […]

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Out of the entire commodity sector, gold has the greatest tendency to disconnect from its underlying supply and demand fundamentals. Still, though, the fundamentals act as a rubber band on its price – when supply overtakes demand, prices will eventually fall. And of course, the opposite is also true. Thus, gold bulls are keeping an […]

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We know that, right now, we are most likely in a period of “debt deflation.” Wages are falling. Prices also appear to be falling – though this is open for debate, as there are smart people who believe prices are steady or even rising. For example, Marc Faber recently said he’s surprised that prices are […]

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Breakfast was easy this morning, as I continue to wipe plenty of egg off my face from my recent deflationary call on the markets. I moved my wife’s 401K stash from gold stocks into pure cash, as I thought gold was looking toppy and not acting well. Since that time, gold fell a bit, and […]

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Here’s a fantastic Marc Faber interview by Newsmax (hat tip to The Daily Crux for linking to this piece). Some quick notes on Faber’s insights: Doesn’t see any way out of inflation in the US…even if deflation hits, the Fed will monetize more and more debt Though thinks we could have temporary bouts of deflation […]

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As regular readers know, I’m starting to get my feet wet with the Elliott Wave Principle…can’t yet say I’m a total believer yet, but I am definitely finding some value from the practice. Here’s a free 5-minute primer video by Elliott Wave International’s Chief Commodity Analyst Jeffrey Kennedy, as he takes a look at wave […]

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On Thursday, I gave a pitch for my startup (Chrometa, auto time capture) at a business innovation showcase here in Sacramento. A traditional business plan pitch is fairly formulaic – you talk about the pain point you’re addressing, your solution, your market, why your team can get it done, etc. Big focus on the market […]

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Crude oil expert Philip Verleger, who correctly predicted oil would hit $100 back in 2007, is now forecasting $20…this year! Verleger says that supply is outpacing demand by 1 million barrels a day – and with the global economy not really improving, a warm winter could prove to be “devastating” for oil prices. This jives […]

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