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This one’s for all the fellow deflationists struggling to “keep the faith” during the continued rally in asset prices – most notably the parabolic move in the precious metals. Christopher Whalen of the American Enterprise Institute presents Four Pictures of Deflation, and concludes: “The end of the liquidation cycle of the deflating bubble will arrive […]
Happy Groundhog Day! And don’t try telling me otherwise – at least as far as the markets are concerned. Everyday the S&P 500 creeps higher – as does gold, silver, and what the hell, even the Euro! Is Punxsutawney Phil nearby? Let’s start with the S&P, which has bounced several times off the 1040 mark, […]
The guys at King World News conducted an excellent interview with Hugh Hendry, an A-List favorite of ours. If you’re not yet familiar with Hugh, you should be – you can listen to the interview here. I’ll admit I have a full-on “man crush” on our boy Hugh – he’s incredibly smart, eloquent, and insightful […]
David Rosenberg wrote today in his daily commentary that earnings expectations peaked with the stock market back in April. He observes that this is a common phenomenon – where stock prices do not follow earnings, but rather they more closely track earnings expectations. When expected earnings are revised up by analysts, stocks rally – and […]
If this is true – it sure is classic Goldman! ZeroHedge reports: In the latest Perspectives from Goldman Sachs Asset Management (intended FOR BROKER-DEALER, FINANCIAL INSTITUTION, OR INSTITUTIONAL INVESTOR USE ONLY. NOT FOR DISTRIBUTION TO CLIENTS OR THE GENERAL PUBLIC), in addition to summarizing all the other recent actions presented by the firm’s key departments, […]
The summer doldrums continue, as today registered the 2nd lowest trading volume of the year (Source: Reuters). As we’ve discussed, the last rally was rather uninspiring, displaying low and declining volume as the rally aged: Source: StockCharts.com The downsloping volume trendline was “broken” a bit by last week’s decline. So while overall trading volume is […]
Like Robert Prechter, Richard Russell is also very bearish on stocks in the near term. But unlike Prechter, who thinks you should be in 100% cash and short term cash equivalents, Russell thinks this will get you in trouble. (For a recap of Prechter’s latest predictions, click here). Richard Russell’s latest outlook, Courtesy of KingWorldNews.com: The […]
You can run, you can rally on low volume, but ultimately you can’t hide from deflation! Today the Deflation Bird digested and ultimately pooped on the lame FOMC statement issued yesterday. It will take more than that, says our feathered friend, to stave off the ravages of deflation. It was one of those now “all […]
One of the many things that inflation/deflation guys absolutely cannot agree on is if prices are going up or down. The inflation folks love to say “I don’t know where they shop!” while us deflation guys have no shortage of discount shopping anecdotes. ESPN’s Bill Simmons – not an economist, but a damn good sports […]
Seems like somebody at the Wall Street Journal has been diligently reading their Contrary Investing Report! Today the Wall Street Journal piled onto the small but growing Deflation Nation Bandwagon, on the heels of warnings about deflation from Jeremy Grantham, Bill Gross, and others: Bond-fund heavyweight Bill Gross, investment manager Jeremy Grantham and hedge-fund managers […]
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