Credit Default Swap Spreads for US States: Bad, but Manageable (In Theory)

The Contrary Investing Report

Investing and Trading News, with a Contrarian, Sarcastic Twist!

I’ve been searching around for some charts of credit default swap spreads for US state governments (if anyone has a favorite source, please let me know).  In the process, I came across this Economist piece, which profiled the finances of the American “problem states.” The case is made that the credit default swap spreads of […]

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Robert Prechter was Jim Puplava’s guest this week on the Financial Sense Newshour.  You can listen to the entire interview here – it’s almost an hour long, and it’s fantastic. Ed. Note: You can also read a full transcript of the interview here, courtesy of our friends at Elliott Wave International. Prechter last chatted with […]

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Zacks Investment Research reports: The Consumer Price Index (CPI) fell 0.2% in May, which was a greater decline than the 0.1% decline expected and the 0.1% decline in April. Year over year, headline inflation is up 2.0%, but almost all of that came in 2009, not in 2010. Over the last three months, the CPI […]

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On Tuesday, Seeking Alpha published a “timely” piece that I penned entitled 3 Reasons This Rally Is Toast – just in time to see markets rally over 2% on the day! The article generated a significant amount of buzz on the site – in fact, as I write this Wednesday afternoon, it’s currently the second most […]

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Our good friend JL sent this laugher along from The Economist…is it any wonder why old media financial coverage is heading towards extinction? The Economist reports: The behaviour of American consumers has been rather confounding of late. Early in the year, retail sales were surprisingly strong, even as labour markets remained exceedingly weak. Recently, however, […]

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Regular readers know that our Contrary Investing stance is that we believe we are still in a secular bear market – one that most likely began in the year 2000. Bear markets typically last roughly 14-18 years or so. Which means it’s unlikely we saw a bottom in March 2009. Furthermore, price-to-earnings and other valuation […]

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Fellow contrarians know that we’ve been following the Baltic Dry Index as a leading indicator of the Reflation Rally for some time now…in fact, we’ve been watching it with a wary eye all the way since last August! Well, topping processes can often be long, drawn out events.  It looks like this has come to […]

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Forex Playmaker reports that the 3-month Libor rate for US dollar reached an 11-month high today: The closely watched 3-month Libor rate for US dollars reached an 11-month high today, following Moody’s latest Greece ratings cut issued yesterday. Libor for 3-month dollar loans rose to 0.539% today from 0.537% yesterday. The present rate is the […]

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The 1st paragraph says it all – from the Wall Street Journal Online (emphasis is mine): President Barack Obama will use an Oval Office address Tuesday night to outline his plans for cleaning up the Gulf oil spill, compensating victims, getting tough on the offshore oil industry and enacting new policies to reduce U.S. oil […]

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What exactly causes deflation – and more specifically – debt deflation?  It’s something few investors seem to have a solid grasp of. Debt deflation sinks in when there is a lot of debt outstanding – and it goes unpaid, up to “money heaven”  – never to be heard from again.  Japan has been in a […]

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