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The S&P Tests Upper Resistance – Again – Any Marbles Behind This Push?

by Brett on September 14, 2010

The ghost town that is the S&P 500 continues its inexorable march to the sky, driven by about 9 traders flipping shares back and forth.

Now we’ve hit an interesting point, with the S&P kissing its upper resistance line once again, and most market observants quite giddy with bullishness:

S&P price chart september 14 2010Source:

Will 1130 hold?  Nobody knows for sure – but with two failed attempts, and one more on the way (backed up by zero volume, thus far), I am inclined to think that the risk of an imminent downturn are greater than the odds of a further push upwards.

It’s probably an attractive time to look at a speculative short-term short position – if you’re into that kind of thing.  And in addition to the seemingly favorable odds, the risk/reward also looks pretty attractive, as any potential decline would likely be sharp and painful.

But, there are no guarantees, and since June, there are a lot of short positions that have gotten chopped to pieces.  Most short term publications I read have been pulling their hair out over the past few weeks, declaring a nasty downturn to be imminent.  I personally am starting to become cautious about my bearish outlook – which may be an indicator that the bounce is indeed over! :)

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Read more on S&P 500 (SPX) at Wikinvest

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