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Bud Conrad is the Chief Economist at Casey Research, an offbeat, very insightful, investment research service that I subscribe to. Folks from Casey Research are rarely quoted in the mainstream press, as their level of thinking is a bit too deep for the dolts on regular financial news. Here’s a nice clip of Bud being […]
Tom Dyson writes in DailyWealth that he believes corn prices are set to drop sharply – and reiterates his favorite plays are live cattle. After thinking about corn a bit, I also now believe that there is more risk on the downside. Potential catalysts for sending corn lower are the impending bust of corn-based ethanol, […]
The DailyWealth team has been all over this story – record corn prices, which will soon produce record hog prices. Agree with the hypothesis 100%, but not sure if I completely agree with the way to play it. My plan is to keep an eye on those mid ’09 contracts…wish I had kept an eye […]
According to a recent NY Times article, at least 29 nations have recently curbed food exports. Take a wild guess what happens when nations curb exports of something – I’ll give you a hint, it’s not bearish for prices. Also this quote struck me in the article:“The main cause of rising rice prices is the […]
Nice article here by Kevin Kerr on the basics of the meat markets and trading meat futures. Everything sure is setup for higher meat prices. I think this is a temporary breather this week, as the live cattle charts were going parabolic for the last couple of weeks. I have not checked my account since […]
Full video Quick notes: Short investment banks – all investment banks go to “8” in a bear market Short Fannie Mae and Citibank Still likes Japanese Yen, Swiss Franc, Chinese Renminbi Recently bought airlines hand over foot (I find this very interesting) – says bankruptcies are a sign of a bottom rather than a top […]
Chuck Butler gives a fantastic rant on Bernanke’s recent tough talk in his morning column. Not much too add to Chuck’s commentary – nicely done Chuck! From a trading perspective – I’m trying to pare back all position sizes, and I still can’t seem to do it fast enough. Meats have taken a turn down […]
Good piece by Christopher Laird on the ongoing inflation/deflation battle. I found this bit particularly interesting: There is a report that 25% of the world wheat crop is at serious risk of a new virulent wheat rust that chokes the wheat before it comes to head. (Mid-East to Asia). The US has its own concerns […]
Corn futures have been whacked this week. Dry weather over the weekend helped farmers make impressive gains, but plantings are still behind. This may be a nice buying opportunity. All the “on the ground” intelligence I’ve seen still indicates this crop could be in serious trouble. These could be some deceiving positive numbers that are […]
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