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Last week, Barron’s published their annual roundtable for 2012 – again featuring two of our very favorites in Marc Faber and Felix Zulauf. Faber stole the show when he predicted that World War III would begin within five years: “On another optimistic note, World War III will occur in the next five years. That means […]
In a title near and dear to my weimaraner’s heart, Christopher Whalen penned an excellent inflation/deflation piece pontificating about the possibility of “Global Weimar”: The commercial channel at most banks we hear from is still running at 1/3 to 1/2 of pre-2008 levels in terms of new originations and demand for credit. This is why when […]
Overall credit, as measured by the quarterly Z1 report, turned up significantly in the 3rd quarter for the first time in a few quarters – does this mean the deflation threat passed? Fellow deflationist Vox Day is not impressed – he writes: So, while Z1 reports a quarterly increase of 0.43% in overall credit, the first […]
Gold and commodities may be way up this year, but NBA ticket prices are down for the second consecutive year. ESPN.com reports: The sports business outlet Team Marketing Report said Wednesday the average price of a nonpremium seat dropped 2.5 percent to $48. That followed a 2.8 percent decrease last season. The Los Angeles Lakers have […]
Here’s a fantastic historical review of inflation by Columbia Business School Professor Frank Byrd. One of the best presentations about what really drives inflation. The whole preso is well worth a watch. The best part is around minute 19, where Byrd makes a key point – which is that the cost of capital has been […]
Is the Fed Sorry It Promised QE2? October 11, 2010 by Sy Harding, Editor of the Street Smart Report The Fed has had stocks and gold spiking up since early September, and the dollar plunging, first on hints that it might consider providing another round of ‘quantitative easing’ if the economic recovery continued to worsen, and […]
Today, stocks were up again – and on low volume, again. There is speculation that this surprisingly resilient rally is predicated on bets that the Fed will act to protect the economic recovery – or whatever you’d call this thing! For a look at the wagers being placed on potential Fed action, we turn to […]
The guys at King World News conducted an excellent interview with Hugh Hendry, an A-List favorite of ours. If you’re not yet familiar with Hugh, you should be – you can listen to the interview here. I’ll admit I have a full-on “man crush” on our boy Hugh – he’s incredibly smart, eloquent, and insightful […]
It’s been a little bit since we checked in on what Dennis Gartman has to say about the economy and markets – so let’s get his outlook. Here’s a 5 minute CNBC clip of Gartman weighing in on the taxation policies in Europe and the US. He subscribes to Art Laffer’s supply side tax theory […]
Despite the Fed’s money printing (errr, quantitative easing) efforts, inflation is not in the cards yet, according to the M1 Money Multiplier. MULT, as it’s affectionately called, still sits below the magic 1.0 level – and as long as it flounders there, we are unlikely to see inflation, no matter what the Fed does. Because, […]
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