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Many of us here have been anticipating a dollar rally that would kick off an explosive move to the upside for the buck. Perhaps a short term move, perhaps a more significant event that could bring another wave of deflation to the asset markets (hey, remember deflation?) I was reading Bob Prechter’s latest newsletter yesterday […]
Flipping through the Wall Street Journal Online, there’s not much love for Europe or the Euro right now, as headlines read: EU Worries Push Stocks Lower Europe Contagion Infects Global Markets Turmoil Helps Push Euro to a 14-Month Low (For some further fun reading on being a WSJ contrarian, check out our fun piece on […]
We’ve written a lot about the outlook for the Euro and the Eurozone recently, and any way we slice it, it sure doesn’t look good! Perhaps fellow contrarians David Galland and Kevin Brekke can find a silver lining to these dark storm clouds? Read on to learn more… *** The Euro Is Screwed By Kevin […]
I thought it’d be fun to peruse the Wall Street Journal to see if we could glean some insights into current investor sentiment. Mainstream business publications are famous for (unintentionally) signaling tops and bottoms in markets – but is this really the case, or more of an old wives tale than truth? I couldn’t think […]
Last Sunday I wrote that I thought it was time to go long the US dollar. Investor sentiment is near record low levels, which usually means the price has nowhere to go but up, at least in the short term. When making a contrarian pick like this, you usually prefer to see articles that take […]
Buy and hold. Stocks for the long run. Diversify. These investment mantras were gospel during the great bull market of the 80s and 90s. Drinking this Kool-Aid will get you slaughtered today. There is no freaking way I would “buy and hold” anything right now. Too dangerous. Buy and hold hasn’t worked over the past […]
Nice scoop on the Australian dollar from our favorite currency analyst, Everbank’s Chuck Butler: And under the heading of “dirty float”… The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) is reported to have sold the most A$’s in the month of May, since February 2004! Now, go back to May and recall the move in A$’s… The […]
The rally in the Australian looks poised to continue, as their central bank left interest rates unchanged – which preserves the large yield premium the Aussie still enjoys over most other major currencies. Here’s the breakdown from legendary currency analyst Chuck Butler: Down Under… The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) left rates unchanged (good for […]
Monday night, we were fortunate enough to initiate a long position in the Australian dollar. I took a long, hard look at it before entering the position – on one hand, it had already been rallying strong and was afraid may be due for a pullback. But the fundamentals and technicals looked too good, so […]
The Australian dollar topped the 74-cents mark today to hit a new 6-month high against the US dollar. The Aussie has been rallying strong of late, and this recent strength is now also underpinned by yesterday’s decision by the RBA (Reserve Bank of Australia) to hold interest rates at 3% for at least the near […]
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