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So which will it be…IN-flation, or DE-flation? That’s the $52 trillion question at this point. There are many worthy opinions to consider on each side of the debate. But who’s right, and who’s wrong? I think it’s important for us individual investors/traders to keep an open mind to all thoughtful, intelligent argumets. Which leads me […]
We keep hearing how US households are paying off their debts. The important question is – how much debt is left to be paid off? For some insights into how much painful deleveraging may be left – I’d like to share what Bill Bonner wrote in today’s Daily Reckoning (an excellent free email newsletter by […]
Anyone want to puchase debt at an artificially low interest rate from a party that’s highly unlikely to be able to pay you back? Anyone? Surprisingly…you’re not alone! The Treasury auctioned off another $39 billion last Wednesday (it’s crazy that we get immune to seeing these huge numbers) in an auction that “drew poor demand.” […]
Even with oil north of $60, airline tickets are incredibly cheap right now. This latest example of price deflation just popped into my Inbox, courtesy of Jet Blue: Related reading: When will price deflation turn into hyperinflation?
Here’s a short clip of Bud Conrad, Casey Research’s Chief Economist, on CNBC last Thursday. Bud has been pounding the table for investors to buy gold (since much lower prices) and short long bonds for some time. The buy gold trade has been a good one thus far, and Bud now believes that betting on […]
US households are paying back their debts at a glacial pace reports the Federal Reserve. Household debt peaked at $13.9 trillion in 2008 (with a “T”). Amidst all the deleveraging and pain of the last 18 months, total debt has inched down just a hair, to $13.8 trillion. At this rate, the US consumer will […]
I’ve come to the conclusion that in roughly March of 2008, the general tide shifted from inflation to deflation for the first time since World War II. Since that shift, everything we have seen has been pretty much deflationary. Oil is half of where it was about a year ago. Ditto for corn and soybeans. […]
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