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Many of us in our Contrary Investing community are sympathetic to the deflation argument. And many of us are also gold bulls – either former, or present! So how will gold perform if deflation wins out in the near term (as we anticipate?) I have to admit I personally am not bullish on gold and […]
Last week, we picked up a story courtesy of Bespoke Investments that showed just 4% of S&P 500 stocks were above their 50-day moving average – a level not even seen during the March 2009 lows! So we thought a stock market bounce might be on tap – and sure enough, this week we got […]
Last Sunday I wrote that I thought it was time to go long the US dollar. Investor sentiment is near record low levels, which usually means the price has nowhere to go but up, at least in the short term. When making a contrarian pick like this, you usually prefer to see articles that take […]
Over the past week, we’ve been investigating dollar sentiment, which appears to be overwhelmingly bearish at the moment. I was surprised when our dollar sentiment survey revealed that only 56% of readers were bearish on the dollar. After seeing bearish readings north of 90% in some places, and anecdotal evidence to support these #’s, I […]
Well, we sold our gold stocks after May this year, on cue with the old addage “sell in May and go away.” We were alarmed that the gold market appeared to be looking a bit toppy, at least in the short term, so we took profits and went to the sidelines. And now we’re “safely” […]
I’ve learned – the hard way – that the best way to time the gold market – is not to time it at all. Remember last summer after the government bailed out Fannie/Freddie, and it looked like a sure bet that gold was heading to the moon? Well that didn’t pan out – yet. […]
According to Wikipedia, the Tilt is a state of mental confusion in which a poker player adopts a less than optimal strategy, usually resulting in the player becoming over-agreesive. In this guest piece, Jeff Clark, one of our favorite analysts, explores how global economics are now “on Tilt”, driven, with wreckless decision after wreckless decision […]
May Natural Gas futures currently sit a shade above $3.50 – their lowest point since 2002! Check out this chart…can you spot the trend? Source: BarChart.com Jeff Clark writes that $3.50 is widely regarded as the “shut in” price for natural gas – the price where drillers are better off closing the well than continuing […]
Jeff Clark writes for Growth Stock Wire about his favorite energy trading indicators, and thinks that coal will be the next big trade in energy. The (coal) index itself is consolidating, and it’ll take a move above 200 to spark a bullish uptrend. Several of the individual stocks that make up the index broke out […]
Oil has not been this cheap relative to gold in 10 years, expert trader Jeff Clark writes in today’s Growth Stock Wire. He believes it’s time to go long oil.The last time the ratio was this high, back in 1999, oil quadrupled from $10 per barrel to over $40 in just one year. A similar […]
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