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Our soft commodity flavor-of-the-month, cotton, has seen its near term futures surge “limit up” for the second day in the row. Was our case for cotton perfectly timed for once? (See: Cotton’s Blue Light Special) Cotton’s sharp reversal sent shorts running for cover. (via Barchart.com) While there have been additional acreage reductions announced in the […]
Inspired by the Jim Rogers interview I watched last night, in which he said he’d be most interested in whatever agriculture was down the most, I decided to look at the charts to see what’s down and out these days! One longtime favorite of Jim’s, and ours, is rough rice. I was fortunate to trade […]
I have to admit – I think the Great Deleveraging permanently seared my psyche. I haven’t been the same since. It’s for the best. Until you live, and invest, through an event like that, I don’t think you can appreciate the awesomeness of the destruction. A history book just doesn’t do it justice. When it […]
On Tuesday evening, we had our monthly meeting of local Casey Research subscribers. Really sharp investment minds in the group – it’s a real pleasure and treat to chat about a wide variety of finance and investing related issues. The general consensus of the group (fairly contrarian in nature) is that gold and cash are […]
I hope you had a good, long holiday weekend. I sure did…I mentioned at the end of the week that I’d be blogging when I wasn’t drinking beer. As you can probably infer from my lack of posts, I managed to put back a few with some good friends! Back in the saddle now, I […]
Three weeks ago, we discussed the possibility the the dollar was bottoming and poised for a major rally. My reasoning was that: Sentiment was overwhelmingly negative on the buck. I noticed that even traditional contrarian investment sources appeared to be piling on. When there’s nobody left to sell, that’s usually a good sign that the […]
It’s pretty tough to find investors who are bullish on the US dollar these days. Judging from our dollar sentiment survey results last week, it seems like most dollar bulls probably read this blog! When I consider: Not a day goes by without an investment newsletter popping into my email Inbox that highlights the dollar’s […]
How Low is Dollar Sentiment? Not as low as I expected, according to an ad hoc reader survey we conducted this week. Earlier in the week, I read that the percentage of dollar bulls was reported to be under 10%, indicating that the dollar may be setup for another long, powerful rally – with sentiment […]
Cotton put in a strong effort today – up 1.21, on a day when many of the softs were down – so I perused the short and long term charts for May futures. Looks like cotton definitely has put in a double bottom, which is usually seen as a bullish indicator, and is rallying off […]
Top posts from the past week: Should the Big Three Be Allowed to Fail? How to Determine a Market’s Trend Gold Buyers Smash Records More Downside for the Dow Could Be Ahead A review of my futures trades from the previous week: Covered my cotton position. It appears I may have been too early in […]
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