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Dollar UP. Everything else DOWN. Sound familiar! Forget Facebook – this is the real financial story. There has not been a lot of green on many screens of late, except for one castoff – the buck. Call it what you will – the best house in a bad neighborhood, the flight to safety – fact […]
Everyone hates the US Dollar – again. The Fed is openly signaling to the markets that it is not going to stand by the buck. The current headline article at Bloomberg.com pertains to New York Fed president William Dudley’s statements that inflation is too low, and unemployment is too high, for the Fed to stand […]
On December 5th, I bookmarked Jim Grant’s Op Ed for the Wall Street Journal entitled Requiem for the Dollar. I had meant to blog about it, but got busy, and it actually worked out for the best, as we now have 15 days of trading hindsight since the op ed was published. I should first […]
On Sunday, I mused that one of my deepest concerns about being bullish on the US Dollar is that I’m on the opposite side of the trade from Jim Rogers, who thinks the buck is doomed. Not so, pointed out astute reader Sibbie via email, citing a recent Rogers interview in BusinessWeek: Q: How much […]
I’m working from the road today, so I’ve got the nice benefit of having CNBC on here – man, are they yucking it up today! With the Dow hitting a new 2009 high, I haven’t heard anyone expressing any skepticism – “all the stars are aligned for higher stocks” is something that was just pronounced! […]
From London’s The Independent comes the latest report of the dollar’s impending implosion – in an article fittingly titled The Demise of the Dollar. In the most profound financial change in recent Middle East history, Gulf Arabs are planning – along with China, Russia, Japan and France – to end dollar dealings for oil, moving […]
I thought it’d be fun to peruse the Wall Street Journal to see if we could glean some insights into current investor sentiment. Mainstream business publications are famous for (unintentionally) signaling tops and bottoms in markets – but is this really the case, or more of an old wives tale than truth? I couldn’t think […]
Last Sunday I wrote that I thought it was time to go long the US dollar. Investor sentiment is near record low levels, which usually means the price has nowhere to go but up, at least in the short term. When making a contrarian pick like this, you usually prefer to see articles that take […]
Three weeks ago, we discussed the possibility the the dollar was bottoming and poised for a major rally. My reasoning was that: Sentiment was overwhelmingly negative on the buck. I noticed that even traditional contrarian investment sources appeared to be piling on. When there’s nobody left to sell, that’s usually a good sign that the […]
Here are a couple of very insightful video interviews with Robert Prechter of Elliott Wave International: Part I – Prechter believes the dollar has bottomed, because of the formation in the Elliott Wave pattern, and also the extreme bearish sentiment we’re seeing. Part II – He explains his deflationary depression hypothesis and why he believes […]
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