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The summer doldrums continue, as today registered the 2nd lowest trading volume of the year (Source: Reuters). As we’ve discussed, the last rally was rather uninspiring, displaying low and declining volume as the rally aged: Source: StockCharts.com The downsloping volume trendline was “broken” a bit by last week’s decline. So while overall trading volume is […]
Not much of note today, as we saw a very lazy summer trading day. Are some fireworks just around the corner? Some thoughts for the rest of the trading week: NYSE decliners led advancers today by about 2 to 1 (Source: Seeking Alpha) – a sign of things to come? Earnings season is kicking off […]
Stocks entered this week in an extremely oversold condition, with overwhelmingly bearish sentiment amongst investors. Just 4% of stocks in the S&P 500 sat above their 50-day moving average heading into the 4th of July holiday – a number even more dismal than the March 2009 lows! Today we got a sharp rally in the […]
Last week, the S&P 500 collapsed through it’s 1040 support line, which had been tested twice before, indicating that there might be major PAIN ahead for stocks. This morning, stocks opened UP – but found resistance once again at 1040…this time, to the ceiling side. Before the weekend holiday, Todd Harrison of Minyanville presciently mused […]
For a long while, it felt like the resumption of the stock market decline would never come. But now, it appears that US equities – the final holdout of the ’09-10 “reflation rally” – are once again under some serious pressure. When we last chatted, we wondered if the S&P’s kiss of the 1122 mark […]
Today we got the stock market pullback that we anticipated yesterday (read that post here). As I write this a few minutes before the closing bell, the S&P 500 is down about 13 points, now trading right around the 1100 mark. According to the Associated Press, volume is lighter than Monday’s session – with volume […]
Stocks gapped higher at the opening bell this morning on news that China would (slowly) allow the Yuan to float. The “Renminbi Rally” was to be short lived, however. The S&P briefly stuck its nose above the 1130 mark, and quickly reversed skate to finish the day in the red. Volume was anemic, once again.Is […]
After Friday’s close, we muttered about our current S&P 500 short position – and while the entry was certainly mistimed from a short term perspective, we do expect this position to be a winner eventually. At least that was our thinking going into a nice summer weekend of beer drinking and pool carousing. And now […]
On cue, right after we proclaimed the S&P 500 was unable to stage a sustained rally – the S&P 500 did the unexpected, and staged a somewhat sustained rally. So here we sit at 1091 – some 41 points above our initial short entry (doh!). It’s a bit of a shame – this is the […]
What a pathetic showing by the S&P 500. It’s been completely unable to rally despite an extremely oversold condition. Our original price target for the S&P rally was 1091-1123. We rallied into the lower end of that range, reversed, and that was it. When stocks can’t maintain a countertrend bounce (and also when that bounce […]
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