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The New York Times reports that chicken wing prices are – pardon me – flying high! Reason being, restaurants have cut back on their orders for higher priced chicken breasts in favor of wings, which are more perceived as a “cheap luxury”, according to the article. Higher demand, coupled with falling supply…you know what that […]
A recent piece in The Economist highlighted the recent strength of agriculture prices in the face of the downturn, and the reason for it. Though prices of the meats, grains, and softs are still off their 2008 highs – they’re not off by much anymore – as commodities such as cotton, soybeans, and sugar are […]
On Saturday, agricultural ministers from the world’s (roughly) eight most industrialized nations, met in Italy to discuss the looming threat of food shortages and a global food crisis. America’s agricultural secretary warned that unless many countries take substantative steps to increase food production, there will be increasing shortages and social unrest around the world. For […]
Another tough one – got to put it in the past, though. Facts are, this system works great when futures are going up, and not so great when they are going sideways/down. And lately, I just haven’t been in the particular futures that are going up (oil looked nuts at $110 – who would have […]
Well not a great week – disappointed in cotton especially, and coffee to end the week. A few thoughts on the positions: Cotton FuturesCotton broke sharply to the downside, as I managed to pin the tail on the local top. However I believe the downside here is limited, so I’m planning to hang on for […]
According to a recent NY Times article, at least 29 nations have recently curbed food exports. Take a wild guess what happens when nations curb exports of something – I’ll give you a hint, it’s not bearish for prices. Also this quote struck me in the article:“The main cause of rising rice prices is the […]
A nice little week – good to be back in the win column. Things cooled off later in the week for me, mostly as wheat plummeted in late trading hours Friday morning. However cattle ended the week very strong, which was great to see. My new policy of watching the charts, rather than my account, […]
Sticking with the rules here, I’m now into cotton and sugar on their respective breakouts. Still like the live cattle and added some longer dated contracts this week. Will probably not add to this position, as it’s heavy enough. Got scared out of corn early – I ended up selling at the break even mark. […]
Looks like this corn crop is toast, and the other grains could be in trouble too. High input costs (diesel, fertilizer, etc) are really hammering farmers and their motivation to replant crops this late in the year. I ponied up for a wheat and a corn contract last night. A little bummed I got into […]
In an indication the commodities boom may not be the bubble imagined, Mr Lipsky said the forces pushing prices up “appear to be fundamental in nature” – and these were being amplified by lower US interest rates and the dollar’s decline. Full article
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