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On December 5th, I bookmarked Jim Grant’s Op Ed for the Wall Street Journal entitled Requiem for the Dollar. I had meant to blog about it, but got busy, and it actually worked out for the best, as we now have 15 days of trading hindsight since the op ed was published. I should first […]
I’m working from the road today, so I’ve got the nice benefit of having CNBC on here – man, are they yucking it up today! With the Dow hitting a new 2009 high, I haven’t heard anyone expressing any skepticism – “all the stars are aligned for higher stocks” is something that was just pronounced! […]
This epic stock market rally has done exactly what it was supposed to do – it’s retraced about half of the losses from the previous crash. It’s got folks feeling comfortable again – while maybe not outright enthusiastic about things, they now believe the carpet is not going to be pulled out from under them. […]
Last Sunday I wrote that I thought it was time to go long the US dollar. Investor sentiment is near record low levels, which usually means the price has nowhere to go but up, at least in the short term. When making a contrarian pick like this, you usually prefer to see articles that take […]
Three weeks ago, we discussed the possibility the the dollar was bottoming and poised for a major rally. My reasoning was that: Sentiment was overwhelmingly negative on the buck. I noticed that even traditional contrarian investment sources appeared to be piling on. When there’s nobody left to sell, that’s usually a good sign that the […]
Here are a couple of very insightful video interviews with Robert Prechter of Elliott Wave International: Part I – Prechter believes the dollar has bottomed, because of the formation in the Elliott Wave pattern, and also the extreme bearish sentiment we’re seeing. Part II – He explains his deflationary depression hypothesis and why he believes […]
It’s pretty tough to find investors who are bullish on the US dollar these days. Judging from our dollar sentiment survey results last week, it seems like most dollar bulls probably read this blog! When I consider: Not a day goes by without an investment newsletter popping into my email Inbox that highlights the dollar’s […]
Over the past week, we’ve been investigating dollar sentiment, which appears to be overwhelmingly bearish at the moment. I was surprised when our dollar sentiment survey revealed that only 56% of readers were bearish on the dollar. After seeing bearish readings north of 90% in some places, and anecdotal evidence to support these #’s, I […]
We’re going to have a little fun and conduct a short experiment – let us know, are you bullish or bearish on the US dollar? Click here to take our poll I’d like to see if we can gauge popular sentiment, to see if this provides us with an indicator of sorts – be it […]
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