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Ahhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhh, relief at last – that’s me, pissing away the last of my 2008 gains. Glad we got that out of the way. Tuesday I was feeling really smart, and bought a mini-silver contract at the bargain price of $15. Unfortunately nobody told me that the bargains were going to get even better! I sold […]
Took some more cash out this week to pay a credit card, and also pump some more cash into our startup. Well, my hopes/dreams for ’08 being a banner year I think are officially in the tank. Earlier in the year, I was hoping I could keep running up the account, and essentially use it […]
If you, like me, are wondering where you’ve gone wrong in your trading over the past couple of months – we can take some minor solace in this fact. The CRB commodity benchmark index fell over 10% in July, marking the worst month for the index since 1980 (which, incidentally, marked the end of the […]
Will post some thoughts later in the week on the positions… Open Positions Date Position Qty Month/Yr Contract Entry Price Last Price Profit/Loss 07/23/08 Long 1 SEP 08 Australian Dlr 0.9567 0.9280 ($2,870.00) 06/17/08 Long 1 DEC 08 Cotton 82.20 70.72 ($5,740.00) 07/30/08 Long 1 FEB 09 Live Cattle 108.850 110.225 $550.00 08/01/08 Long 1 […]
Current thoughts on these futures markets: Australian dollar – Of course, what would a currency trade be without a trip to the wrong side of the ledger? I’ve decided I am no longer using breakouts to determine my entry points with currencies, and have jumped into the Aussie on what I deemed a ‘pullback’. Since, […]
Farmers continue to shift acreage to corn and soybeans. One industry executive estimates cotton would need to top $1/pound for it to be cost competitive with corn and soybeans. So we can do the math – either cotton is going higher, or corn and soybeans are heading lower, but something has to give.
I don’t see too many free columns from good old Jurgens anymore, but they’re always worth a read. Comments on coffee, cocoa, sugar, and cotton. I love reading takes from these old-time commodity traders, as they provide good, rational perspectives. Plus always amusing to see how baffled they are at the circus these markets have […]
Unfortunately Agora has not yet posted the full article yet in their Rude Awakening archives – keep an eye out. Same story we all know – agriculture is poised to go much higher, and the softs (sugar, cotton, cocoa, coffee) look particularly undervalued.
Well I picked up some cotton this morning – got filled on the May contract at 71.87. I have to admit that I’m following Dennis Gartman’s pick on this one – I am on the free trial subscription to his newsletter. Normally I wouldn’t have bought so soon, so we’ll see how this works out […]
From Agora’s 5 Min Forecast: “The cotton market has been very depressed the last few years due to high carryover stocks and lower global demand. All that may be changing. Farmers in key cotton-growing states are rejecting the idea of continuing to grow cotton and are opting for more profitable crops that have lower input […]
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