NY Times: Hoarding Nations Drive Food Costs Even Higher

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According to a recent NY Times article, at least 29 nations have recently curbed food exports. Take a wild guess what happens when nations curb exports of something – I’ll give you a hint, it’s not bearish for prices. Also this quote struck me in the article:“The main cause of rising rice prices is the […]

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Farmers continue to shift acreage to corn and soybeans. One industry executive estimates cotton would need to top $1/pound for it to be cost competitive with corn and soybeans. So we can do the math – either cotton is going higher, or corn and soybeans are heading lower, but something has to give.

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A nice little week – good to be back in the win column. Things cooled off later in the week for me, mostly as wheat plummeted in late trading hours Friday morning. However cattle ended the week very strong, which was great to see. My new policy of watching the charts, rather than my account, […]

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Nice article here by Kevin Kerr on the basics of the meat markets and trading meat futures. Everything sure is setup for higher meat prices. I think this is a temporary breather this week, as the live cattle charts were going parabolic for the last couple of weeks. I have not checked my account since […]

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Hallelujah for our forward looking government leaders, now on the lookout to protect us innocent civilians from those evil speculators who lurk in the night. What fools we were for believing that supply and demand, government mandates for corn based ethanol, and a national policy to turn the US dollar into toilet paper have been […]

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Sticking with the rules here, I’m now into cotton and sugar on their respective breakouts. Still like the live cattle and added some longer dated contracts this week. Will probably not add to this position, as it’s heavy enough. Got scared out of corn early – I ended up selling at the break even mark. […]

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I find it’s always good to check your assumptions periodically. It’s even better to check them again. And better yet to recheck them one more time. I have a long term belief that the commodity bull still has years to run. And it’s refreshing to step back, look at the big picture (especially on down […]

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