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Will post some thoughts later in the week on the positions… Open Positions Date Position Qty Month/Yr Contract Entry Price Last Price Profit/Loss 07/23/08 Long 1 SEP 08 Australian Dlr 0.9567 0.9280 ($2,870.00) 06/17/08 Long 1 DEC 08 Cotton 82.20 70.72 ($5,740.00) 07/30/08 Long 1 FEB 09 Live Cattle 108.850 110.225 $550.00 08/01/08 Long 1 […]
Kevin Kerr gives CNBC his thoughts on the oil market. Kevin makes a great point – demand destruction is overblown, as it took $140 oil for to trigger a measly 2.5% drop in US demand. A drop in the global bucket, he says. He sees oil back up towards $150 by years end. I agree […]
Here’s our buddy Jim being interviewed by the UK newspaper the Telegraph – good old Jim is cheery as always, and predicts the US central bank will fold within the next decade or two, because it is “so bad”.
Kevin Kerr discusses the current resource situation with BNN Likes gold and silver (has $1200 price target for gold, may hit this year he believes) Thinks oil will trade between $85 and $105 for a bit, before continuing its rise Current correction in base metals and grains is a good thing for traders looking to […]
Current thoughts on these futures markets: Australian dollar – Of course, what would a currency trade be without a trip to the wrong side of the ledger? I’ve decided I am no longer using breakouts to determine my entry points with currencies, and have jumped into the Aussie on what I deemed a ‘pullback’. Since, […]
Bud Conrad is the Chief Economist at Casey Research, an offbeat, very insightful, investment research service that I subscribe to. Folks from Casey Research are rarely quoted in the mainstream press, as their level of thinking is a bit too deep for the dolts on regular financial news. Here’s a nice clip of Bud being […]
Tom Dyson writes in DailyWealth that he believes corn prices are set to drop sharply – and reiterates his favorite plays are live cattle. After thinking about corn a bit, I also now believe that there is more risk on the downside. Potential catalysts for sending corn lower are the impending bust of corn-based ethanol, […]
Another tough one – got to put it in the past, though. Facts are, this system works great when futures are going up, and not so great when they are going sideways/down. And lately, I just haven’t been in the particular futures that are going up (oil looked nuts at $110 – who would have […]
The DailyWealth team has been all over this story – record corn prices, which will soon produce record hog prices. Agree with the hypothesis 100%, but not sure if I completely agree with the way to play it. My plan is to keep an eye on those mid ’09 contracts…wish I had kept an eye […]
Well not a great week – disappointed in cotton especially, and coffee to end the week. A few thoughts on the positions: Cotton FuturesCotton broke sharply to the downside, as I managed to pin the tail on the local top. However I believe the downside here is limited, so I’m planning to hang on for […]
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