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Bond King Bill Gross writes that the Fed’s QE2 announcement will likely “mark the end of a great 30-year bull market in bonds.” From his latest PIMCO investment outlook: We at PIMCO join with Ben Bernanke in this diagnosis, but we will tell you, as perhaps he cannot, that the outcome is by no means […]
PIMCO’s Bill Gross today urged the US government to go “all in” in the nationalization of the mortgage finance system: Bloomberg reports: “To suggest that there’s a large place for private financing in the future of housing finance is unrealistic,” Gross said today at a U.S. Treasury Department conference in Washington. “Government is part of […]
Has any trade over the last few years frustrated more sophisticated investors than the “one-way” bet on rising long-term government interest rates? For the last 2 or 3 years, many (including myself) have been piling into ETFs (like TBT) that act as short proxies for rising long term interest rates. And the logic has been so sound, […]
Today Minyanville carried a piece entitled Seven ETFs to Play Deflation, which highlighted high dividend paying ETFs and interest paying bond funds. While I agree with the premise IF deflation is mild and US growth is merely slower than normal, I’d be cautious about the dividend funds if we see a wicked wave of deflation […]
Seems like somebody at the Wall Street Journal has been diligently reading their Contrary Investing Report! Today the Wall Street Journal piled onto the small but growing Deflation Nation Bandwagon, on the heels of warnings about deflation from Jeremy Grantham, Bill Gross, and others: Bond-fund heavyweight Bill Gross, investment manager Jeremy Grantham and hedge-fund managers […]
Bond legend Bill Gross shared his latest outlook with CNN Money – and I was glad to see him weigh in on deflation in particular: What about the possibility of deflation occurring? We’re in a struggle between inflation and deflation right now. We may never get to a negative consumer price index, but the danger […]
Ever wonder what the hell takes the rating agencies so long? Today, leading credit agency Fitch downgraded Portugal’s debt amid “growing concerns about the government’s ability to service it’s borrowings.” Well – duh – increased borrowings coupled with decreasing tax revenues should raise concerns. What amazes me is that the Euro traded down today on […]
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