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The “reflation” trade Just a standard retracement? The bear may be back! They Are Still “All the Same Markets” Like many of our astute readers, I was not impressed by the reflation trade. While the strength of the rally was indeed quite substantial, when you sum it up, it was a mirror image of the […]
Burton Malkiel, author of A Random Walk Down Wall Street – because of course we all know that stock prices are subject to completely random movements – is starting a hedge fund to “go long China.” This story really is too good to be true. Chinese stocks quietly topped last August. Burton is timing the […]
The trend is your friend But it’s still a bear market So the trend is down! Closing in on the 200-Day Moving Average Last week, I mused that I thought the markets had turned down, but that we’d need to respect the moving average before being 100% sure. We’re not there yet…but we’re gaining ground […]
Fear – have you returned? The markets forgot ’bout you Have we hell to pay? NFL: Both Public Teams Cover I’m a day late publishing the weekly update this week, partially thanks to the NFL conference championship games. I normally write on Sundays, but instead devoted yesterday to three great American pastimes – gambling, drinking […]
Regular readers are aware that we’ve been watching the Chinese market as a potential leading indicator for US equity markets for some time. Our astute readers aside, of course, the average financial slob (or pundit, if you will) seems unaware that the Shanghai Composite topped way back in August. When I posted this chart and […]
Speaking of contrarian investment indicators, they don’t get much better than this. Fidelity.com posted a listing in a prominent public relations newsletter today: Summary: Buying stocks again?Name: Chris Taylor (Fidelity.com)Category: Business and FinanceEmail: query-100@helpareporter.comMedia Outlet: Fidelity.comDeadline: 07:00 PM EST – 20 JanuaryQuery: Looking for investors who are shifting some of their cash holdings back into […]
Regular readers know that I’m a big fan of Bob Prechter’s investment analysis. One of my favorite aspects of his work is the use of sentiment indicators as a market timing mechanism – that is, when everyone is bearish, you should be greedy, and when everyone is bullish, you should run for the hills. In […]
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