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Acclaimed hedge fund Bridgewater Associates is a little down on the Western world these days, describing the US and Europe as “zombies” that will remain as such until they work through their current massive pile of debt: “What you have is a picture of broken economic systems that are operating on life support,” Mr. Prince […]
All human progress – and stock market gains – boil down to increases in productivity. While sounding a bit dramatic, if you look through history, you’ll see incredibly consistent correlation between productivity breakthroughs (ie. the industrial revolution, the internet) and bursts of prosperity. Legendary hedge fund manager and technology guru Andy Kessler used this technique […]
We’ve sure seen a lot of QE2 talk hashed around – including some hilarious cartoon spoof videos. But here’s a unique take from Andy Kessler on Bernanke’s real motivations for QE2, courtesy of the WSJ: I have a different explanation for the Fed’s latest easing program: Without another $600 billion floating through the economy, Mr. […]
Common knowledge is that the American consumer is now doing what he or she must do to confront life in the “New Normal” – that is, paying down debt diligently. This perception, though, appears to be a bit “overrated” – especially if you look at things like, well, the actual data. The WSJ reports that […]
Our unofficial “Deflation Chancellor”, David Rosenberg, penned an excellent rebuttal to a WSJ Op-Ed piece by Jeremy Siegel and Jeremy Schwartz entitled The Great American Bond Bubble. Rosenberg dispels a lot of “common wisdom” with regards to what drives interest rates and the bond market. His analysis, as always, is superb. You can read his […]
Has any trade over the last few years frustrated more sophisticated investors than the “one-way” bet on rising long-term government interest rates? For the last 2 or 3 years, many (including myself) have been piling into ETFs (like TBT) that act as short proxies for rising long term interest rates. And the logic has been so sound, […]
Seems like somebody at the Wall Street Journal has been diligently reading their Contrary Investing Report! Today the Wall Street Journal piled onto the small but growing Deflation Nation Bandwagon, on the heels of warnings about deflation from Jeremy Grantham, Bill Gross, and others: Bond-fund heavyweight Bill Gross, investment manager Jeremy Grantham and hedge-fund managers […]
CLF – Cliff’s Natural Resources Why you ask? Because it’s THIS GUY’S favorite pick! James Altucher also believes the S&P is heading towards 1500 because “stocks are cheap”. he says the S&P historically trades at 15 times earnings…which is perhaps correct…if you’re talking about bull market tops! So should us contrarians run out and short […]
Stocks just wrapped up their worst month since February 2009 – the last full month of the last leg down of the 08-09 stock market crash. So how are investors feeling? Not great – but all things considered, not too bad either. The Wall Street Journal (one of our favorite contrarian indicators) is running a […]
Flipping through the Wall Street Journal Online, there’s not much love for Europe or the Euro right now, as headlines read: EU Worries Push Stocks Lower Europe Contagion Infects Global Markets Turmoil Helps Push Euro to a 14-Month Low (For some further fun reading on being a WSJ contrarian, check out our fun piece on […]
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