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Is ANYONE going to defend their currency? Chuck Butler writes in the Daily Pfennig that Singapore is now the latest to throw in the towel on theirs: A couple of weeks ago, when Chris was writing the Pfennig for me, he wrote about Singapore, and how the Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS) had indicated it […]
Today, Bloomberg reported that the Japanese Yen dropped today against the dollar, euro, and Swiss franc as Japan posted its first trade deficit in 13 years. “The poor Japanese trade-deficit data are giving further fuel to the idea that Japan, or the yen, is no longer the safe haven as the country’s external position deteriorates,” […]
Everbank’s Chuck Butler highlights the reasons he foresees a possible rally in the Norwegian Krone on the horizon in today’s Daily Pfennig: I had a great lunch yesterday with the Big Boss, Frank Trotter, and we were discussing what we would talk about next week at the Orlando Money Show. I told Frank that I […]
According to Everbank’s Chris Gaffney, the dollar index has fallen below its 55-day moving average, a key technical indicator. But even before the automakers got the bad news from the Senate, the dollar was falling faster than we’ve seen in the past few weeks. Chuck shouted out across the trade desk around noon yesterday that […]
Sean Hyman from World Currency Watch says watch out, the Bank of Japan is not one to be reckoned with. They are ready to intervene to stop the Yen’s rise – and you don’t want to test them. And our pal and trusted currency advisor, Chuck Butler at the Daily Pfennig, agrees with Sean in […]
A jolly good day to you, dear reader chap. This morning, over tea and biscuits, I posed the following query to myself: Q: What’s better than one short British Pound contract? A: Well that’s easy, my good man – the answer is TWO short British Pound contracts. Check out this chart – is this dog […]
Same story we’ve been following here. A nice rally in the grains today, and a little bit of life in the softs as well. Can corn continue to break out from here? It’s been rangebound for the past couple of months – I keep thinking that fundamentals will eventually prevail and push corn past the […]
David Bloom makes the case that the Japanese Yen is no longer trading based on Japanese events. From personal observation – I agree, the Yen has been basically an inverse proxy of risk appetite in America for the past year or so.
Chuck Butler on the Swiss Franc and potential end of the carry trade, from his must-read currency newsletter, the Daily Pfennig: Swiss inflation is really putting the pressure on the Swiss National Bank (SNB) to raise interest rates… Inflation in Switzerland accelerated faster than expected in March. In fact, it was the fastest monthly pace […]
Full article Summary: We all know the yen carry trade – folks borrow “cheap” yen (paying unnaturally low interest rates), invest in higher yielding terrain (ie. Australian dollar) and leverage the shit out of it. This doesn’t work when the yen rises – as it is now. I had assumed that most of the carry […]
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