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These days we are keeping a keen eye on markets that have been reliable leading indicators of the stock market. Since 2004 or so, markets have become quite interrelated, creating a lot of interesting relationships in markets that previously had little or no correlation. The correlation of course peaked during the 2007-2009 downturn, when EVERYTHING […]
Thanks to good friend and fellow deflationist Carson for sending along the latest CPI numbers, which were released this morning. Inflation? Where? On a seasonally adjusted basis, the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) declined 0.1 percent in April, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Take away food and energy, and the deflation […]
Fellow contrarians know that we’ve been watching the crude oil market for a sign of where this rally may be heading. Right now, crude looks absolutely gassed. It dropped below it’s 200 day moving average last week (yes, the 200-day MA that we love to watch) – and has just managed to bounce up a […]
Crude oil has broken through the $80 mark once again – trading as high as $82 – before settling back in after hours trading due to “concerns about the US economic recovery.” Not even joking about that one. Crude’s on the loose! (Source: Barchart.com) Meanwhile the Chinese equity markets – the poster child of the […]
Have you been piling into oil with the rest of the hot money? Might want to think about covering…or even reversing…your position. Oil expert Matt Badiali writes: The fact that oil didn’t leap up with delight at riots in Iran should make oil investors quake with fear. Iran produces about 5% of the world’s oil […]
When CNBC starts asking if oil will hit $300 anytime soon, that probably means we’ve got a short term top in place. In fairness to Kevin Kerr – I think very highly of his commodity insights, and this interview is worth watching…his points are all good ones. However if you’re contrarian trading against CNBC […]
Seems like the same old theme – when the stock market gets slammed, so does crude oil. Crude oil closed the day below $49/barrel. (Chart source: BarChart.com) When crude is up on days like today, that’s when we’ll take a hard look at going long crude. The only bright spots today? Gold, Silver, US […]
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