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Stratfor reports that the current drop in food prices is likely to be temporary, because falling prices and the credit crunch will reduce supply next growing cycle. The article confirms something we’ve been discussing here at length – the trends which originally brought about the supply/demand imbalance in the grains markets are still firmly in […]
Chris Mayer writes in Agora Financial’s Rude Awakening that the global food supply problem is more acute than ever before, as a result of the current financial crisis. This is something we’ve been discussing here of late. Farmers cannot get basic loans for fertilizer. Forget about new capital investments. And this all happening with world […]
Are there any grains worth buying at these prices? Have you seen any article, commentary that may be of help? This question was posed by our buddy and regular reader/contributor Moyo, who runs the fine commodity focused site FuturesCafe. I think that sugar, cotton, and coffee are the most attractive agriculture plays at this point. […]
Will post some thoughts later in the week on the positions… Open Positions Date Position Qty Month/Yr Contract Entry Price Last Price Profit/Loss 07/23/08 Long 1 SEP 08 Australian Dlr 0.9567 0.9280 ($2,870.00) 06/17/08 Long 1 DEC 08 Cotton 82.20 70.72 ($5,740.00) 07/30/08 Long 1 FEB 09 Live Cattle 108.850 110.225 $550.00 08/01/08 Long 1 […]
Current thoughts on these futures markets: Australian dollar – Of course, what would a currency trade be without a trip to the wrong side of the ledger? I’ve decided I am no longer using breakouts to determine my entry points with currencies, and have jumped into the Aussie on what I deemed a ‘pullback’. Since, […]
Tom Dyson writes in DailyWealth that he believes corn prices are set to drop sharply – and reiterates his favorite plays are live cattle. After thinking about corn a bit, I also now believe that there is more risk on the downside. Potential catalysts for sending corn lower are the impending bust of corn-based ethanol, […]
The DailyWealth team has been all over this story – record corn prices, which will soon produce record hog prices. Agree with the hypothesis 100%, but not sure if I completely agree with the way to play it. My plan is to keep an eye on those mid ’09 contracts…wish I had kept an eye […]
Thanks to our boy S’Wheat Times for digging this one out:Full article on Yahoo
Open Positions Date Position Qty Month/Yr Contract Strike Call/Put Entry Price Last Price Profit/Loss 06/12/08 Long 1 SEP 08 Corn 734 1/4 768 1/2 $1,712.50 05/08/08 Long 1 OCT 08 Live Cattle 105.350 109.950 $1,840.00 05/09/08 Long 1 OCT 08 Live Cattle 106.700 109.950 $1,300.00 06/11/08 Long 1 SEP 08 Wheat 867 3/4 907 1/2 […]
Looks like this corn crop is toast, and the other grains could be in trouble too. High input costs (diesel, fertilizer, etc) are really hammering farmers and their motivation to replant crops this late in the year. I ponied up for a wheat and a corn contract last night. A little bummed I got into […]
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