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Here’s a great case study. Woke up this morning, pleasantly surprised to see coffee up 3 cents from my entry point. And then, before I could put down my morning cup of coffee – prices rolled over. Guess I didn’t put it down fast enough: Better get my ass down to Starbucks!
Note: This article has been published by Seeking Alpha. Coffee futures are not my favorite to trade. They’re so volatile that it’s tough to distinguish a true breakout from noise. Hopefully for me (I went long the Dec contract today), this move has more legs than the head fake from June: Taking a step back, […]
Ahhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhh, relief at last – that’s me, pissing away the last of my 2008 gains. Glad we got that out of the way. Tuesday I was feeling really smart, and bought a mini-silver contract at the bargain price of $15. Unfortunately nobody told me that the bargains were going to get even better! I sold […]
Took some more cash out this week to pay a credit card, and also pump some more cash into our startup. Well, my hopes/dreams for ’08 being a banner year I think are officially in the tank. Earlier in the year, I was hoping I could keep running up the account, and essentially use it […]
If you, like me, are wondering where you’ve gone wrong in your trading over the past couple of months – we can take some minor solace in this fact. The CRB commodity benchmark index fell over 10% in July, marking the worst month for the index since 1980 (which, incidentally, marked the end of the […]
Will post some thoughts later in the week on the positions… Open Positions Date Position Qty Month/Yr Contract Entry Price Last Price Profit/Loss 07/23/08 Long 1 SEP 08 Australian Dlr 0.9567 0.9280 ($2,870.00) 06/17/08 Long 1 DEC 08 Cotton 82.20 70.72 ($5,740.00) 07/30/08 Long 1 FEB 09 Live Cattle 108.850 110.225 $550.00 08/01/08 Long 1 […]
Current thoughts on these futures markets: Australian dollar – Of course, what would a currency trade be without a trip to the wrong side of the ledger? I’ve decided I am no longer using breakouts to determine my entry points with currencies, and have jumped into the Aussie on what I deemed a ‘pullback’. Since, […]
I don’t see too many free columns from good old Jurgens anymore, but they’re always worth a read. Comments on coffee, cocoa, sugar, and cotton. I love reading takes from these old-time commodity traders, as they provide good, rational perspectives. Plus always amusing to see how baffled they are at the circus these markets have […]
Nice simple breakdown of 3 of our favorite softs – coffee, cocoa, and sugar – by the folks at Money Morning. I did not realize the coffee harvest is looking so good – suppose that’s why coffee cannot break out of it’s range. Same with cocoa – I have been avoiding due to the sharp […]
Cattle’s looking good – I’m keeping an eye on the Feeder market also. Wish I still had all my Live Cattle contracts, but oh well – looking to add on a new breakout. Pork bellies are not looking good – same article linked above mentions too much supply on the market. Quite a breakout by […]
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