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These days we are keeping a keen eye on markets that have been reliable leading indicators of the stock market. Since 2004 or so, markets have become quite interrelated, creating a lot of interesting relationships in markets that previously had little or no correlation. The correlation of course peaked during the 2007-2009 downturn, when EVERYTHING […]
We’ve been following the Chinese stock market closely, because over the last few years it’s been a “canary in the coal mine” for US equities. The fact that the Shanghai index actually peaked last August, and is now in the process of rolling over, should be a concern to anyone who is long US stocks. Follow […]
We’ve been watching Chinese stocks very closely for almost a year now, because the last time the markets all tanked, China led the way. Since retracing a standard fare Fibonacci amount of their previous losses, Chinese stocks actually put in a top last August, and since have been making an ominous set of “lower highs” […]
OK I’ll admit, it’s a stretch for me to sit here in my comfy office chair in Northern California and opine about the future of the Chinese economy…especially since I’ve been there exactly zero times. But the internet is a wonderful place, and it’s a fun sport anyway, so with that disclosure out of the […]
Regular readers are aware that we’ve been watching the Chinese market as a potential leading indicator for US equity markets for some time. Our astute readers aside, of course, the average financial slob (or pundit, if you will) seems unaware that the Shanghai Composite topped way back in August. When I posted this chart and […]
Crude oil has broken through the $80 mark once again – trading as high as $82 – before settling back in after hours trading due to “concerns about the US economic recovery.” Not even joking about that one. Crude’s on the loose! (Source: Barchart.com) Meanwhile the Chinese equity markets – the poster child of the […]
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