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Economies around the globe seem to be slowing down a bit – but the US stock market doesn’t appear worried, sitting just off its recent highs. But India, China, and Brazil are all off their highs by double-digits. So which Mr. Market is right? Sy Harding investigates.. Ed. note: Sy published this article on Friday […]
When the talking heads on CNBC say that stocks reasonably valued today, I have no clue what they are talking about. At least I’m in good company, as neither does the indomitable John Hussman – he writes: Last week, the S&P 500 Index ascended to a Shiller P/E in excess of 24 (this “cyclically-adjusted P/E” or […]
There are so many economic indicators being published weekly that it’s very easy to get distracted and lost. Which of them really matter? Which are actual leading indicators – and which are trailing ones, reporting old news from six months ago? Here’s a great column by Forbes columnist Bert Dohmen, who makes the case that […]
Last week, we picked up a story courtesy of Bespoke Investments that showed just 4% of S&P 500 stocks were above their 50-day moving average – a level not even seen during the March 2009 lows! So we thought a stock market bounce might be on tap – and sure enough, this week we got […]
CLF – Cliff’s Natural Resources Why you ask? Because it’s THIS GUY’S favorite pick! James Altucher also believes the S&P is heading towards 1500 because “stocks are cheap”. he says the S&P historically trades at 15 times earnings…which is perhaps correct…if you’re talking about bull market tops! So should us contrarians run out and short […]
On cue, right after we proclaimed the S&P 500 was unable to stage a sustained rally – the S&P 500 did the unexpected, and staged a somewhat sustained rally. So here we sit at 1091 – some 41 points above our initial short entry (doh!). It’s a bit of a shame – this is the […]
What a way to end the week! The bears, and more importantly, the much feared deflation bird are back in charge. For how long? Yesterday, we took stock of the situation, and surmised that while the mini-rally on the S&P 500 had gone as far as it needed to. So we figured the odds favored a […]
Yesterday afternoon, we closed our short S&P 500 futures position after hours, on the expectation that some sort of bounce was developing in the near term. If that’s what you call a bounce – it was pretty pathetic! What a lame-ass bounce! We’ll see what type of follow through we get tomorrow and Friday. That […]
As I write this about 90 minutes before the closing well, markets opened lower and continue to languish, with declines slightly outpacing advances. This is only notable because markets are already severely oversold – at least by common metrics. So, while astute traders may have anticipated a bounce today, that has not yet materialized. I have […]
Richard Russell’s not in the mainstream news that often – so when he is, my interest is certainly piqued. To my knowledge, Russell has been short term bullish throughout much of this reflation/retracement rally. It looks like he’s close to donning his bear cap, though. Bloomberg reports: “If the May 7 lows are violated by […]
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