Stock Market Outlook for July 13, 2010: Big Decline Ahead?

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Not much of note today, as we saw a very lazy summer trading day.  Are some fireworks just around the corner? Some thoughts for the rest of the trading week: NYSE decliners led advancers today by about 2 to 1 (Source: Seeking Alpha) – a sign of things to come? Earnings season is kicking off […]

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After Friday’s close, we muttered about our current S&P 500 short position – and while the entry was certainly mistimed from a short term perspective, we do expect this position to be a winner eventually.  At least that was our thinking going into a nice summer weekend of beer drinking and pool carousing. And now […]

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Regular readers know that I’ve been anxious – TOO anxious – to short the S&P 500.  The reflation rally was determined to “end when it ends” – and not a moment sooner. Although we are still trading above the magical 200-day moving average, I have to believe that the odds are that the current trend […]

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Trading is, as you know, an inexact science. So while we *think* it’s likely that the dollar has put in a major bottom, a cross above its 200-day moving average would significantly reinforce this hypothesis. The dollar tests it’s 200 day MA. (Source: WSJ.com) We’re not there yet, but we’re getting close. A push above […]

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