Where to Find 10% Yields at 20%-30% Discounts

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Get your dip-buying lists ready, because it’s almost time to pounce.

Just recently, I explained to investors that, as a contrarian, we only want to fully dive into the market when we have a clear edge—the kind of edge you get when Wall Street has fully capitulated:

“We only want to fully invest when the regular investor has thrown in the towel. And there are plenty of indicators that can tell us exactly when our time has come. Consider, for example, the closely watched CNN Fear/Greed Index, which sits at 26 as I write.”

That was just a week ago.… Read more

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A stock’s yield is only as good as its cash flow because, after all, a dividend is nothing more than a promise from a company.

CenturyLink (CTL) recently reminded us of this. Its promised $0.54 per share dividend exceeded its ability to pay. The firm’s payout ratio of 130% – the percentage of profits that it was paying as dividends – was an absurd overpromise that couldn’t last forever:

CenturyLink’s Payout Promise Was Always on Borrowed Time

CEO Jeffrey Storey insisted his team remained “committed to and confident in our ability to maintain the dividend.” I understood the commitment, but questioned the confidence – taking on debt to pay dividends is a losing game.… Read more

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Most income investors find their way to business development companies (BDCs) by screening or searching for big yields. And there’s no doubt these listed payouts do appear impressive! Here are the five largest BDCs (ranked by assets under management):

A first-level look at this table may have you wondering why anyone would buy MAIN when they could nearly double their dividend by choosing another ticker. Well, there’s a good reason that we’ll get to in a minute. First, let’s talk about what BDCs actually do so that we can understand what is driving these big dividends.

It all started in 1940, when Congress passed the Investment Company Act.… Read more

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By most measures, 2018 has been a solid year for U.S. investors. Including dividends, the S&P 500 has generated a 10% total return in the first three quarters of the year.

However, trading volatility has steadily increased throughout 2018 and the Fed just enacted its third of an expected four interest rate increases this year. Sprinkle in some cautionary economic headlines coming out of Europe and the chances are increasing that stocks could experience a pullback between now and the end of the year.

Rather than worry or panic about any selling that could materialize in the near term, I’ve created a list of low-dollar stocks with secure dividends that could weather any potential storm.… Read more

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There’s been a mini-wave of insider buying in the BDC (business development company) sector. This is worthy of our attention for two reasons:

  1. These firms pay fat yields (we’ll discuss 3 paying up to 13%),
  2. Their stocks are trading below book value.

This means we can buy these firms for as low as 71 on the dollar and get their dividend streams (and future cash flows) for free. (Remember when I told you to buy four big bank stocks when they were trading below book? If you followed my advice 18 months ago, you made a lot of money).

We’ll analyze each of these “pennies on the dollar” BDCs in a minute.…
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