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The USDA just released its latest crop progress report. Most of the grain crops look to be in pretty good shape, with the exception of soybeans, which are still behind schedule. Wheat’s been slammed the past few days after a speculative run-up, so it appears this news was priced in. Not much movement from corn […]
Despite record harvests last year, corn and wheat stocks are still sitting near 30-year lows. Which means, anything short of a bumper crop could send the grains skywards once again. Here are some very cool charts, courtesy of Chris Mayer at DailyWealth, that depict the stocks-to-use ratios of of wheat and corn since 1970, versus […]
Stratfor reports that a major drought is threatening Argentina’s agricultural crop for 2009. According to the projections of the Buenos Aires Cereals Exchange published on Jan. 16, the country’s wheat yield for 2009 will be 8.7 million metric tons, down from 16.3 million in 2008 (domestic wheat consumption in 2007 was approximately 6.7 million metric […]
Grain futures plummeted today after the USDA issued it’s supply and demand report, which projected larger supplies than previously forecasted. You can read the gory details of the full report here – or glorious details – depending on which side of the trade you were on. Corn, soybeans, wheat, rough rice all basically closed “limit […]
Now for the weekly review of our commodity futures positions – current as of January 11, 2009. First, our top blog posts from the past week: Is It (Finally) Time to Short US Treasuries – And Make a Fortune? China Starting to Regurgitate US Debt Marc Faber on Bloomberg: World War III Has Already Begun […]
Now for the weekly review of our commodity futures positions – current as of January 4, 2009. First, our top blog posts from the past week: Expert Commodity Picks for 2009: Jim Rogers and Marc Faber GoldMoney Review: Gold Climbs for 8th Straight Year Jim Rogers on Kudlow: We’re going to have an inflationary nightmare […]
Top posts from the past week: Lean Hog Prices Poised to Climb in 2009 Why eBay is the Best Indicator of Gold’s Fair Value Our coverage of Marc Faber’s recent interview on CNBC from December 1st continues to see a lot of traffic. A review of our trades and positions from the previous week: Continued […]
Stratfor reports that the current drop in food prices is likely to be temporary, because falling prices and the credit crunch will reduce supply next growing cycle. The article confirms something we’ve been discussing here at length – the trends which originally brought about the supply/demand imbalance in the grains markets are still firmly in […]
Chris Mayer writes in Agora Financial’s Rude Awakening that the global food supply problem is more acute than ever before, as a result of the current financial crisis. This is something we’ve been discussing here of late. Farmers cannot get basic loans for fertilizer. Forget about new capital investments. And this all happening with world […]
Open Positions Date Position Qty Month/Yr Contract Strike Call/Put Entry Price Last Price Profit/Loss 06/12/08 Long 1 SEP 08 Corn 734 1/4 768 1/2 $1,712.50 05/08/08 Long 1 OCT 08 Live Cattle 105.350 109.950 $1,840.00 05/09/08 Long 1 OCT 08 Live Cattle 106.700 109.950 $1,300.00 06/11/08 Long 1 SEP 08 Wheat 867 3/4 907 1/2 […]
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