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by Carl Swenlin The Rydex Cash Flow Ratio gives an improved view of sentiment extremes by using cumulative cash flow (CCFL) into Rydex mutual funds rather than using the totals of assets in those funds (which we use for the Rydex Asset Ratio). It is calculated by dividing Money Market plus Bear Funds CCFL by Bull […]
by Sy Harding Markets around the world plunged so dramatically after topping out at the end of April (the S&P 500 down 18%), that they became very oversold short-term, a condition that usually results in at least a short-term rally off the oversold condition, a so-called relief rally. And sure enough a relief rally did […]
by Carl Swenlin, President and Founder, DecisionPoint.com The Percent Buy Index (PBI) has reached levels seen only at the bear market lows in 2002-2003 and 2009-2010, and we think it has very negative implications. At Decision Point we apply a medium-term timing model to all the stocks in the S&P 500 Index, and track the percentage […]
PMO Buy Signal: Financial SPDR (XLF) by Carl Swenlin (This is an excerpt from July 22, 2011 issue of the blog for Decision Point subscribers.) In our ETF Tracker Daily Report, which tracks over 90 index and sector ETFs, there is a section that tracks the status of PMO buy and sell signals for these […]
Long-Term View By Carl Swenlin (This is an excerpt from July 8, 2011 issue of the blog for Decision Point subscribers – click here to subscribe.) Dealing with daily blogs tends to narrow our focus to the short-term and to the activity on the daily bar chart. Even if a person trades in the short-term, […]
Over the weekend I read most of Martin Zweig’s Winning on Wall Street – which I’d highly recommend to traders and those passionate about the market. Zweig breaks down some interesting seasonal features that seem to correlate with the social mood of the public. When people are in a good mood, they tend to bid […]
Being Street Smart by Sy Harding Here’s What Investors Should Be Watching! November 19, 2010. The market is in what is usually its favorable season of November to May, when it typically makes most of its gains each year. But it hasn’t been that way so far. Among other worries, analysts are concerned that the […]
As I sit here typing comfortably from my Steelcase chair in Sacramento, CA, it may be a little presumptive for me to weigh in my $0.02 in the Chinese bull/bear debate. Some convincing China (short term) bears – like Marc Faber and Hugh Hendry – believe things are not going to end well in China. […]
The ghost town that is the S&P 500 continues its inexorable march to the sky, driven by about 9 traders flipping shares back and forth. Now we’ve hit an interesting point, with the S&P kissing its upper resistance line once again, and most market observants quite giddy with bullishness: Source: StockCharts.com Will 1130 hold? Nobody […]
The S&P has been rallying towards the upper end of its recent 1040-1130 trading range over the past week and a half. Since the S&P entered this range, it’s been profitable to “swing trade” the extremes – by going short near the upper edge of the range, and either covering, or going long, near the […]
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