The End of the Rally? S&P Reverses Course at 50% Retracement

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Stocks gapped higher at the opening bell this morning on news that China would (slowly) allow the Yuan to float.  The “Renminbi Rally” was to be short lived, however.  The S&P briefly stuck its nose above the 1130 mark, and quickly reversed skate to finish the day in the red.  Volume was anemic, once again.Is […]

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After Friday’s close, we muttered about our current S&P 500 short position – and while the entry was certainly mistimed from a short term perspective, we do expect this position to be a winner eventually.  At least that was our thinking going into a nice summer weekend of beer drinking and pool carousing. And now […]

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On cue, right after we proclaimed the S&P 500 was unable to stage a sustained rally – the S&P 500 did the unexpected, and staged a somewhat sustained rally. So here we sit at 1091 – some 41 points above our initial short entry (doh!).  It’s a bit of a shame – this is the […]

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What a pathetic showing by the S&P 500.  It’s been completely unable to rally despite an extremely oversold condition. Our original price target for the S&P rally was 1091-1123.  We rallied into the lower end of that range, reversed, and that was it. When stocks can’t maintain a countertrend bounce (and also when that bounce […]

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Here’s an update on the short term trend of the stock market.  When this recent rally kicked off on May 27th, we took a shot at a short-term price target for the S&P 500: For my calculations, I’m saying that this decline began at 1173 on the S&P, and ended at the intra-day low of […]

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Well today we are seeing the strong bounce that we’d been anticipating in the stock market (if you missed yesterday’s piece, you can get caught up here). Now that the S&P 500 has rallied to the doorstep of 1100, the question is – how much longer will this rally go?  And when should we re initiate our […]

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So far so good on that short S&P 500 position we initiated Wednesday afternoon via the futures market.  We had a beautiful nosedive in equities yesterday – it was truly breathtaking, really – followed up by a somewhat muted rally that didn’t get going until late in today’s trading day. Heading into Thursday’s trading, the […]

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