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I don’t see too many free columns from good old Jurgens anymore, but they’re always worth a read. Comments on coffee, cocoa, sugar, and cotton. I love reading takes from these old-time commodity traders, as they provide good, rational perspectives. Plus always amusing to see how baffled they are at the circus these markets have […]
Open Positions Date Position Qty Month/Yr Contract Strike Call/Put Entry Price Last Price Profit/Loss 06/12/08 Long 1 SEP 08 Corn 734 1/4 768 1/2 $1,712.50 05/08/08 Long 1 OCT 08 Live Cattle 105.350 109.950 $1,840.00 05/09/08 Long 1 OCT 08 Live Cattle 106.700 109.950 $1,300.00 06/11/08 Long 1 SEP 08 Wheat 867 3/4 907 1/2 […]
The dollar rally continues into the weekend, with two main drivers to thank: The belief that the Fed will raise rates later this year to combat inflation. The belief that the US economy will turn up soon, and the world will again look to the US as a place to invest. I don’t think either […]
Looks like this corn crop is toast, and the other grains could be in trouble too. High input costs (diesel, fertilizer, etc) are really hammering farmers and their motivation to replant crops this late in the year. I ponied up for a wheat and a corn contract last night. A little bummed I got into […]
4 videos from his blog – good TV. The guy is right on the ground following the grains, gotta love that. I also love the pained look on his face when he talks about these shortages, when you know the guy is trading these markets and making millions. Priceless.
Looks like the specs are piling into the near-term sugar contracts, based on forecasts that India will be a net importer of sugar. Their farmers are forgoing sugar in favor of higher priced crops. Well gee, it’s about damn time! Not quite to a breakout yet – we’ll see if this gap up holds.
Have to admit – I’m a bit frustrated with the weakness in the meats, especially in the face of this grains rally. Doesn’t seem to make much sense, and I can’t see a scenario where meat prices are not higher in 6-12 months. This livestock report helped calm me down – it looks like farmers […]
Alright back in the saddle here. Was attending my 5-year college reunion past 4 days – man did I miss some crazy action on Thu/Fri. Back this week and we’ll try to figure out where these crazy markets are heading! Open Positions Date Position Qty Month/Yr Contract Strike Call/Put Entry Price Last Price Profit/Loss 05/21/08 […]
Chuck Butler gives a fantastic rant on Bernanke’s recent tough talk in his morning column. Not much too add to Chuck’s commentary – nicely done Chuck! From a trading perspective – I’m trying to pare back all position sizes, and I still can’t seem to do it fast enough. Meats have taken a turn down […]
You know, I wish I had something interesting or insightful to say. Last week sucked, and I’m just glad to be out of my losing positions (silver – ouch, pork bellies – rallied since, of course). Did a bit of thinking, and it’s probably time I start following my own advice. Keep position sizes manageable, […]
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