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What’s the cheapest commodity on the board right now? It’s probably a toss up between cattle and natural gas. Both are beyond beaten down; both are at near historic lows; both are just cheap. That doesn’t mean they can’t get cheaper. But if you’re looking to make some big bucks in commodities, it’s usually wise […]
Another tough one – got to put it in the past, though. Facts are, this system works great when futures are going up, and not so great when they are going sideways/down. And lately, I just haven’t been in the particular futures that are going up (oil looked nuts at $110 – who would have […]
Well not a great week – disappointed in cotton especially, and coffee to end the week. A few thoughts on the positions: Cotton FuturesCotton broke sharply to the downside, as I managed to pin the tail on the local top. However I believe the downside here is limited, so I’m planning to hang on for […]
A nice little week – good to be back in the win column. Things cooled off later in the week for me, mostly as wheat plummeted in late trading hours Friday morning. However cattle ended the week very strong, which was great to see. My new policy of watching the charts, rather than my account, […]
Sticking with the rules here, I’m now into cotton and sugar on their respective breakouts. Still like the live cattle and added some longer dated contracts this week. Will probably not add to this position, as it’s heavy enough. Got scared out of corn early – I ended up selling at the break even mark. […]
Have to admit – I’m a bit frustrated with the weakness in the meats, especially in the face of this grains rally. Doesn’t seem to make much sense, and I can’t see a scenario where meat prices are not higher in 6-12 months. This livestock report helped calm me down – it looks like farmers […]
Alright back in the saddle here. Was attending my 5-year college reunion past 4 days – man did I miss some crazy action on Thu/Fri. Back this week and we’ll try to figure out where these crazy markets are heading! Open Positions Date Position Qty Month/Yr Contract Strike Call/Put Entry Price Last Price Profit/Loss 05/21/08 […]
You know, I wish I had something interesting or insightful to say. Last week sucked, and I’m just glad to be out of my losing positions (silver – ouch, pork bellies – rallied since, of course). Did a bit of thinking, and it’s probably time I start following my own advice. Keep position sizes manageable, […]
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