Investors Haven’t Been This Bullish Since January – Uh Oh

The Contrary Investing Report

Investing and Trading News, with a Contrarian, Sarcastic Twist!

Another up day for equities, and investors appear to be feeling pretty good about things. According to the S&P 500 Bullish Percent Index, investors haven’t felt this upbeat about things since January: Investors have been feeling on the up and up of late. Chart courtesy of StockCharts.com Unfortunately investor bullishness is a classic contrarian indicator […]

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On Monday, I penned a piece for Casey’s Daily Dispatch that highlighted the investment and geopolitical conclusions that our local “phyle” reached during our most recent meeting. Last night our Sacramento Phyle got together at a local restaurant to banter about the usual talk you’d expect to overhear at such a place – like government […]

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Last week our local “Casey Research Phyle” got together at a local restaurant to banter about the usual talk you’d expect to overhear at such a place – like government confiscation of retirement plans, expatriation, wiring money to Central America, and our favorite shorting techniques – you know, the usual. In these turbulent economic and […]

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Here’s an excerpt from the latest issue of Conversations with Casey – an absolutely must read that Doug Casey and his team publish every Wednesday. If you’re not yet a subscriber, I’d highly recommend it – it’s a free pub, so you can’t beat the price, and Doug definitely doesn’t pull any punches! *** (Conversations […]

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Stocks continue to defy gravity, as the S&P finished today at a 17 month high. Amazingly, the S&P has completely retraced it’s most recent drop from January. The markets swung from quite oversold, to quite overbought, within the span of a month. Once again, we learned (the hard way) not to bet against the S&P […]

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Despite what some investing talking heads may say, the financial world is not exempt from natural law. There’s a natural flow to the way the world works – and it absolutely carries over into investing. One common thread is change – things are either improving, or deteriorating, but they are almost never stagnant. Nature, after […]

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A few weeks ago I glowingly declared that the bear was back in charge, and that the new trend was down. Channeling Lee Corso – not so fast, my friend! It’s been a strong retracement of the Jan-Feb decline: Markets have rebounded – from oversold in Feb, to overbought in March! (Source: Yahoo finance) BUT […]

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OK I’ll admit, it’s a stretch for me to sit here in my comfy office chair in Northern California and opine about the future of the Chinese economy…especially since I’ve been there exactly zero times. But the internet is a wonderful place, and it’s a fun sport anyway, so with that disclosure out of the […]

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Who in their right mind Would want to be long right now? Get out or get short! Why the Markets Could All Crash – Soon Investing is a largely probabilistic endeavor. It’s nearly impossible to know exactly how the future will unfold, so instead we play the probabilities, in an effort to weigh the risk […]

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Is real estate bottoming? Ummmm, I guess it depends what you mean by bottoming…but unless you work for the NAR, probably not! Here’s an exclusive, insider look at the “real estate train wreck” as Casey Research’s David Galland sat down with real estate entrepreneur and guru Andy Miller. This read will make you think twice […]

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