Baltic Dry Index Rolls Over, Cries Uncle (and Barks Like a Dog, Too)

The Contrary Investing Report

Investing and Trading News, with a Contrarian, Sarcastic Twist!

Fellow contrarians know that we’ve been following the Baltic Dry Index as a leading indicator of the Reflation Rally for some time now…in fact, we’ve been watching it with a wary eye all the way since last August! Well, topping processes can often be long, drawn out events.  It looks like this has come to […]

Read More

Forex Playmaker reports that the 3-month Libor rate for US dollar reached an 11-month high today: The closely watched 3-month Libor rate for US dollars reached an 11-month high today, following Moody’s latest Greece ratings cut issued yesterday. Libor for 3-month dollar loans rose to 0.539% today from 0.537% yesterday. The present rate is the […]

Read More

The 1st paragraph says it all – from the Wall Street Journal Online (emphasis is mine): President Barack Obama will use an Oval Office address Tuesday night to outline his plans for cleaning up the Gulf oil spill, compensating victims, getting tough on the offshore oil industry and enacting new policies to reduce U.S. oil […]

Read More

What exactly causes deflation – and more specifically – debt deflation?  It’s something few investors seem to have a solid grasp of. Debt deflation sinks in when there is a lot of debt outstanding – and it goes unpaid, up to “money heaven”  – never to be heard from again.  Japan has been in a […]

Read More

After Friday’s close, we muttered about our current S&P 500 short position – and while the entry was certainly mistimed from a short term perspective, we do expect this position to be a winner eventually.  At least that was our thinking going into a nice summer weekend of beer drinking and pool carousing. And now […]

Read More

Jim Rogers was a guest on this week’s edition of the Financial Sense Newshour with Jim Puplava.  It’s a great interview – which you can listen to here.  (Note: If you’re reading this post later on, you may need to search for the June 12, 2010 episode through the archives). Sometimes Jim’s CNBC interviews can […]

Read More

On cue, right after we proclaimed the S&P 500 was unable to stage a sustained rally – the S&P 500 did the unexpected, and staged a somewhat sustained rally. So here we sit at 1091 – some 41 points above our initial short entry (doh!).  It’s a bit of a shame – this is the […]

Read More

Could the re-emergence of Mr. T be the mother of all sell signals for gold? Kevin Depew, Editor-in-Chief of Minyanville, explored the “Mr. T Gold Indicator” in a wonderfully written – and hysterical – article: The Mr. T Gold Indicator is a proprietary technical indicator created by Minyanville to identify and anticipate prospective exhaustion points […]

Read More

Astute reader Legrand posted an insightful comment below our article about shorting the S&P 500 that I wanted to call attention to.  I believe he’s onto something very important: Back to my father’s generation- the boomers. They really have only seen inflation during their adult lives. Deflation isn’t something that seems plausible. Their entire adult […]

Read More

Categories