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Not only are investors all lathered up these days – they appear to be quite levered up, too. Courtesy of the Jutia Group: It’s official… Margin debt—that’s the amount of money borrowed to purchase stocks—on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) reached its all-time high in April. Margin debt on the NYSE registered at $384.3 […]
Stock market technician Carl Swenlin looks at the Rydex Ratio today – an indicator screaming out that it’s been a LONG time since sentiment was this bullish. Rydex Ratio Reflects Very Bullish Sentiment by Carl Swenlin As prices soar, the Rydex Ratio reflects increasingly bullish sentiment. The chart shows that the Ratio has not reached […]
The markets sure have appeared spooked since Bernanke’s midweek commentary – but is that all this is about, or is there more to this most recent pullback? Regular correspondent adds to the list of intermediate term market worries in his weekly piece… **** There’s More To Consider Than Just The Fed Being Street Smart By […]
Sentiment and Seasonality Urge Caution by Carl Swenlin The National Association of Independent Investment Managers (NAAIM) weekly poll* shows that they are 83% long. This qualifies as an extreme level of optimism, and should cause concern. (This is a recent excerpt from the blog for Decision Point subscribers.) On the following chart we can see […]
The new Schwab Active Trader Sentiment Survey caught the eye of our resident technician Carl Swenlin, as it appears to be unique in surveying active traders rather than the usual investment lumpen. The headline touted a “four-year high” in bullish sentiment – big contrarian signal? Swenlin weighs in… Schwab Active Trader Sentiment by Carl Swenlin […]
One of the most widely watch barometers for investor sentiment is the AAII survey, as it seems to capture the essence of the armchair investors’ sentiment at the moment. Technical guru Carl Swenlin has been watching the AAII numbers, and is concerned at the high bull to bear ratio we’re seeing today. Sentiment Becoming Too […]
By Carl Swenlin The National Association of Active Investment Managers (www.naaim.org) takes a weekly poll of its members that results in a pretty good sentiment poll. Approximately 40 NAAIM member firms who are active money managers are asked each week to provide a number which represents their overall equity exposure at the market close on Wednesday. […]
Investors sure are in a good mood this Holiday season! But how long can this extreme bullish mood last? We turn to Sy Harding for his thoughts as we head into the Christmas holiday…but a quick heads up, these exuberant individual investors may have you reaching for the egg nog! —- ’Tis a Season To […]
Continuing on our theme from yesterday that investor sentiment has reached an extreme level of jubilation, John Hussman writes that we’ve now reached the pantheon of “awful times to invest”: In recent weeks, the U.S. stock market has been characterized by an overvalued, overbought, overbullish, rising-yields syndrome that has historically been hostile to stocks. Last […]
Being Street Smart by Sy Harding Here’s What Investors Should Be Watching! November 19, 2010. The market is in what is usually its favorable season of November to May, when it typically makes most of its gains each year. But it hasn’t been that way so far. Among other worries, analysts are concerned that the […]
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