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On cue, right after we proclaimed the S&P 500 was unable to stage a sustained rally – the S&P 500 did the unexpected, and staged a somewhat sustained rally. So here we sit at 1091 – some 41 points above our initial short entry (doh!). It’s a bit of a shame – this is the […]
After trading hours Monday, we shorted the S&P 500 again via the futures market – because, well, we couldn’t bare to be on the sidelines anymore. We had HOPED for a rally that would carry the S&P towards the 1120 or 1130 mark. It did not materialize. The reversal was sharp and swift. It was […]
What a pathetic showing by the S&P 500. It’s been completely unable to rally despite an extremely oversold condition. Our original price target for the S&P rally was 1091-1123. We rallied into the lower end of that range, reversed, and that was it. When stocks can’t maintain a countertrend bounce (and also when that bounce […]
What a way to end the week! The bears, and more importantly, the much feared deflation bird are back in charge. For how long? Yesterday, we took stock of the situation, and surmised that while the mini-rally on the S&P 500 had gone as far as it needed to. So we figured the odds favored a […]
Here’s an update on the short term trend of the stock market. When this recent rally kicked off on May 27th, we took a shot at a short-term price target for the S&P 500: For my calculations, I’m saying that this decline began at 1173 on the S&P, and ended at the intra-day low of […]
Stocks just wrapped up their worst month since February 2009 – the last full month of the last leg down of the 08-09 stock market crash. So how are investors feeling? Not great – but all things considered, not too bad either. The Wall Street Journal (one of our favorite contrarian indicators) is running a […]
Well today we are seeing the strong bounce that we’d been anticipating in the stock market (if you missed yesterday’s piece, you can get caught up here). Now that the S&P 500 has rallied to the doorstep of 1100, the question is – how much longer will this rally go? And when should we re initiate our […]
Yesterday afternoon, we closed our short S&P 500 futures position after hours, on the expectation that some sort of bounce was developing in the near term. If that’s what you call a bounce – it was pretty pathetic! What a lame-ass bounce! We’ll see what type of follow through we get tomorrow and Friday. That […]
After gapping WAY down at the opening bell, the S&P (and other indices) rallied throughout the day, slowly but steadily climbing back to even on the day. All-in-all a very respectable showing, as the first major test of support at 1050 for the S&P held. The S&P did set a new intraday low for 2010 […]
As I write this about 90 minutes before the closing well, markets opened lower and continue to languish, with declines slightly outpacing advances. This is only notable because markets are already severely oversold – at least by common metrics. So, while astute traders may have anticipated a bounce today, that has not yet materialized. I have […]
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