The 4.3% Dividend Play That Gets Paid When AI Powers Up

The Contrary Investing Report

Investing and Trading News, with a Contrarian, Sarcastic Twist!

Worried about a recession? If so, this “slowdown-resistant” 4.3% dividend is for you.

Unemployment just hit 4.3%, the highest since early 2021. Payrolls keep missing, and revisions keep knocking prior month numbers even lower. Employers are clearly pulling back.

The jobless headlines suggest an incoming recession. Perhaps. A big driver is automation—white-collar work being replaced by AI. Software is cheaper, faster and never calls in sick. That may eventually weigh on consumer spending in our service-driven economy.

But here’s the investing play: while AI is trimming jobs, it’s also fueling a bull market in energy demand.

Over the past few years, AI started as a tech story.… Read more

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When DoubleLine CIO Jeffrey Gundlach speaks, we yield hounds listen.

Right now, the “Bond God” has gold on the brain. We’re dialed in, because his latest utterances are pointing the way to a sweet 7.4%-paying “gold-dividend twofer” for us.

I’m talking about a play for price upside in the near term, followed by big monthly dividends (yes, 7.4%, and maybe more) when the “discount trigger” we’ll talk about in a sec kicks in.

The Bond God Calls ’Em Like He Sees ’Em

The Bond God is a dyed-in-the-wool contrarian who holds a special place in our hearts because, well, he’s often right.… Read more

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$20 trillion.

That’s how much value has been added to the US housing market in the last five years. It’s a number so big it’s near-impossible to get your head around. And it’s a double-edged sword.

On the one hand, if you own a house, that house is worth more, and you’re richer as a result. But if you don’t, buying is expensive and comes with a higher risk of a price drop. That’s because this $20-trillion gain is a 57% increase since 2020, or 9.5% per year.

That is, simply put, unsustainable.

Which is why, today, we’re going to look at a way to hedge against this risk and collect an 8.4% dividend as you do.… Read more

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Artificial intelligence is supposed to be graceful, just code humming in the cloud. Yet it’s anything but lightweight. AI is an energy hog.

Every time a chatbot like ChatGPT spits out an answer, it pulls from enormous racks of servers running in data centers. Those servers draw electricity on the scale of small cities.

Over the past few years, AI has been a tech story. With increasing adoption, however, it is about to evolve into a power story.

AI can’t happen without natural gas. Renewables are growing for sure but most new data centers are still tied to gas-fired plants.… Read more

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Artificial intelligence is supposed to be graceful, just code humming in the cloud. Yet it’s anything but lightweight. AI is an energy hog.

Every time a chatbot like ChatGPT spits out an answer, it pulls from enormous racks of servers running in data centers. Those servers draw electricity on the scale of small cities.

Over the past few years, AI has been a tech story. With increasing adoption, however, it is about to evolve into a power story.

AI can’t happen without natural gas. Renewables are growing for sure but most new data centers are still tied to gas-fired plants.… Read more

Read More

At CEF Insider, we live for those times when a bad news story turns up a great dividend opportunity. And the headlines just served one up, putting a 12%+ dividend (in a hated sector, no less) on the table.

This special situation is intriguing because no one in America is talking about it. That’s because it comes from across the pond, in the UK. Specifically, I’m talking about one of the UK’s biggest insurers, Phoenix Group, pulling £22 billion (US$30 billion) from asset manager Aberdeen Group plc (SLFPY), reportedly to manage these funds in-house.

Aberdeen’s name might ring a bell if you’re a CEF Insider member, as we’ve held the firm’s funds in the past.… Read more

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Most Wall Street “suits” are allergic to dividend cuts. These spreadsheet jockeys sooooo lack imagination. They prefer linear trends—up and to the right.

Dividend growers model nicely. Payout “resets” (cuts!) do not. So, there is often a knee-jerk reaction from analysts to sell every divvie slash they see.

Same goes for most individual income investors. These vanilla beans sold BlackRock Health Sciences Term Trust (BMEZ) late last week when BlackRock sliced the dividends for three of its popular funds.

The weaker hands sold. Big payouts remain. As contrarians, we’re intrigued.

Dividend cuts, ironically, often mark the start of opportunity. Here’s what the knee-jerk sellers miss:

  • Even after the trim, BMEZ still yields 9.2%.

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Most Wall Street “suits” are allergic to dividend cuts. These spreadsheet jockeys sooooo lack imagination. They prefer linear trends—up and to the right.

Dividend growers model nicely. Payout “resets” (cuts!) do not. So, there is often a knee-jerk reaction from analysts to sell every divvie slash they see.

Same goes for most individual income investors. These vanilla beans sold BlackRock Health Sciences Term Trust (BMEZ) late last week when BlackRock sliced the dividends for three of its popular funds.

The weaker hands sold. Big payouts remain. As contrarians, we’re intrigued.

Dividend cuts, ironically, often mark the start of opportunity. Here’s what the knee-jerk sellers miss:

  • Even after the trim, BMEZ still yields 9.2%.

Read more

Read More

While Wall Street chases NVIDIA (NVDA), the real AI dividend story is unfolding in the sleepy insurance sector. These “boring” firms are quietly leveraging AI tools to slash costs, grow premiums, and—best of all—dish us bigger dividends.

AI is spreading across the economy much faster than many expected. That means we need to move even faster to front-run that shift.

We’ve already been hard at it. In July, we talked about our favorite dividend payer to grab as AI reworks farming. Few people realize it, but “ag” has a long history of leveraging tech. It’s a big reason why productivity per farm worker has shot up 16X since 1948.… Read more

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We’ve got a frankly, bizarre dynamic setting up in stocks right now.

Global stocks are clobbering their American cousins this year. But here’s the disconnect: This is happening even though US stocks are hitting all-time highs seemingly every day.

On the surface, it sounds like both of these can’t be true. But as we’ll see below, this setup makes total sense. We’ll also look at how we can play it for both offense—price upside, in other words—and defense (in the form of 8%+ dividends), too.

USA, USA, US … Wait a Minute …

Here we’re looking at the S&P 500, as measured by the SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY), in purple, compared to the Vanguard FTSE All-World Ex-US Index Fund (VEU), a good benchmark for global stocks (minus the US, as the name says), in orange.… Read more

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