Be Wary of These ETFs if Deflation Gets Really Bad

The Contrary Investing Report

Investing and Trading News, with a Contrarian, Sarcastic Twist!

Today Minyanville carried a piece entitled Seven ETFs to Play Deflation, which highlighted high dividend paying ETFs and interest paying bond funds. While I agree with the premise IF deflation is mild and US growth is merely slower than normal, I’d be cautious about the dividend funds if we see a wicked wave of deflation […]

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Seems like somebody at the Wall Street Journal has been diligently reading their Contrary Investing Report! Today the Wall Street Journal piled onto the small but growing Deflation Nation Bandwagon, on the heels of warnings about deflation from Jeremy Grantham, Bill Gross, and others: Bond-fund heavyweight Bill Gross, investment manager Jeremy Grantham and hedge-fund managers […]

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Bond legend Bill Gross shared his latest outlook with CNN Money – and I was glad to see him weigh in on deflation in particular: What about the possibility of deflation occurring? We’re in a struggle between inflation and deflation right now. We may never get to a negative consumer price index, but the danger […]

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Today, the volatility index (VXX) hit its lowest level in 3 months.  Does this mean we have a large stock market decline in our future? Over the last 6 months, lows in the VIX have corresponded with tops in stocks.  Since May’s spike, it’s been a series of lower lows and lower highs for the […]

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But – Dr. Doom does not dismiss Prechter’s call altogether (Details on Prechter’s latest predictions here).  CNBC reports on Faber’s outlook in his August 2010 Doom, Boom, Gloom Report newsletter: Marc Faber says before dismissing Prechter as a lunatic you should look at his record. In 1978 when he predicted the Dow would reach 2,300 […]

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As a career renter living in Northern California, I felt like I was missing out on a raging campfire of a good time in the housing market from 2003-2005.  Prices seemed way too high to me to justify purchasing a home.  My wife and I couldn’t afford anything decent…but also couldn’t figure out how others […]

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Jim Rogers was on CNBC earlier this week, sharing his thoughts and outlook on Q2 Earnings, the Euro, the future of BP, and more. Some of my quick notes are here, with the 7-minute video below: He says don’t worry about Q2 earnings – that’s history.  Looking ahead, he’s skeptical that the good earnings news […]

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American consumer spending is a funny thing.  For years, throughout much of the 00’s, we watched in amazements as the US consumer went on the greatest spending binge in the history of Planet Earth. First, we spent all the money we had.  Then, we spent all the money we didn’t have.  We borrowed against our […]

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It’s been a little bit since we checked in on what Dennis Gartman has to say about the economy and markets – so let’s get his outlook. Here’s a 5 minute CNBC clip of Gartman weighing in on the taxation policies in Europe and the US.  He subscribes to Art Laffer’s supply side tax theory […]

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Is it any surprise that among metro areas with populations above 1,000,000, Washington DC has the lowest unemployment rate? The Wall Street Journal reports: Among metro areas with populations over one million, Las Vegas had the highest jobless rate at 14.5% and Washington, D.C. and surrounding suburbs had the lowest at 6.4%. That’s funny, because […]

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