This Member of “Team Trump” Is Setting Us Up for 5% Payouts, Big Gains

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This Member of “Team Trump” Is Setting Us Up for 5% Payouts, Big Gains

At this point, I don’t think I really need to say that Trump 2.0 is a lot different than Trump 1.0. And one of those differences—which very few people are talking about—is a huge tailwind for the two big dividends we’re going to dive into today.

Think back to our first go-’round with Trump. Remember his relationship with Jay Powell? Terrible, right?

Back in 2018, he tweeted that Powell and the Fed had “no sense, no guts, no vision” when they failed to cut rates as much as the president wanted. A year later, he called Powell an “enemy.”

And that’s just a small sample of the torment unleashed upon poor Jay!… Read more

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Inflation Soars … Rates Fall? Here’s the Silly Error Many Investors Are Making Now

When it comes to the economy, we’re in a bit of a weird spot: The data tells us that, despite inflation fears, interest rates are likely to fall in the year ahead.

Falling rates point in one clear direction for us contrarian income-seekers: corporate bonds. Our preferred way to tap into them? Discounted closed-end funds (CEFs) with big dividend yields.

If investors know any corporate-bond CEFs at all, they probably know the PIMCO Dynamic Income Fund (PDI). It’s the biggest of the bunch, with a $5.1-billion market cap and a monster 13.3% yield.

With that in mind, PDI is a good gauge of investor interest in corporate-bond CEFs, and that interest is booming, as we’ll see in a moment.… Read more

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2 Good, 2 Bad PIMCO CEFs Paying Up to 13.9%

PIMCO recently cut the dividends of two of its popular closed-end funds (CEFs). Shareholders took a bath and, honestly, none of this was a surprise to us careful contrarians.

The payout cuts themselves were not the reason for the bludgeoning. PIMCO Strategic Income Fund (RCS) reduced by 22% but still yields 7.4%. PCM Fund (PCM) cut by 20% yet it pays 11.5% post-chop.

Yet shareholders down 13% and 12% respectively in the past month are now searching for meaning in their empty dividend lives. Fast double-digit losses are obviously not what these income-hopeful investors signed up for.

Alas, hope is never a good strategy and those that were burned obviously did not research these paper payout tigers in Contrarian Outlook.… Read more

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My “Go-To” Way to Beat SPY, Bag 8%+ Yields

We launched our CEF Insider newsletter nearly eight years ago, in March 2017, and we’ve seen a lot since then: a pandemic, interest-rate swings, dramatic fights between fund managers and activist shareholders, and more.

But for me, the most exciting event has been the over 200% profit one of our long-time picks, a closed-end fund (CEF) called the Adams Diversified Equity Fund (ADX), has delivered to shareholders as of this writing.

Market-Beating Gains With ADX

With a 204.3% return currently as I write this, ADX actually beat the S&P 500 index fund that many American investors opt for: the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY), which is up just 171.5% over the same time period.… Read more

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This 14.4% Dividend Is a New Year’s “Gift” for Contrarians

2024 is hours from heading out the door, and here’s the state of play:

The Federal Reserve cut interest rates for a third consecutive meeting on December 18. Yet the yield on the 10-year Treasury is now higher than when the easing cycle began.

Wait. What?

The bond market has been screaming at Jay Powell that the job on inflation is not done. It makes sense: The economy is fine. There are plenty of jobs. The market is not hurting for liquidity.

Finally, Jay is catching on. And here’s the twist: The hawkish guidance he gave on rates at that December 18 meeting—including the Fed’s expectation of two rate cuts next year instead of four—could actually set the stage for a top in the 10-year Treasury yield.… Read more

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My 5 Favorite CEFs for 2025 with Yields Up to 13.7%

Are higher interest rates and lower bond prices a sure thing for 2025? Mainstream financial pundits say yes.

Which gives us thoughtful contrarians pause. Their narrative against bonds is assumed. When this happens, markets tend to move in the opposite direction of conventional wisdom.

Which means we should bet with bonds. At least in the near term to start the new year. Let’s watch bonds rally and surprise everyone except for us. The “Trump is bad for bonds” trade may eventually be correct, but my hunch again is that this “surefire” call is early.

For all the recent commotion, the 10-year Treasury yield bounces between 3.3% and 5%, with an even narrower 3.6% to 4.7% range recently.… Read more

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My 5 Favorite CEFs for 2025 with Yields Up to 13.7%

Are higher interest rates and lower bond prices a sure thing for 2025? Mainstream financial pundits say yes.

Which gives us thoughtful contrarians pause. Their narrative against bonds is assumed. When this happens, markets tend to move in the opposite direction of conventional wisdom.

Which means we should bet with bonds. At least in the near term to start the new year. Let’s watch bonds rally and surprise everyone except for us. The “Trump is bad for bonds” trade may eventually be correct, but my hunch again is that this “surefire” call is early.

For all the recent commotion, the 10-year Treasury yield bounces between 3.3% and 5%, with an even narrower 3.6% to 4.7% range recently.… Read more

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When Rates Fall, This 14% Dividend Soars (Next Likely Jump: September)

I have to laugh when I hear people say Jay Powell has been tough on rates. Sure, he’s been talking tough. But when he’s not doing his Dirty Harry act at the mic, he’s been keeping the liquidity party going through the back door!

I call this “Quiet QE.” If you’ve read my articles in the last couple of years, or are a member of one of my premium services, you’ve no doubt heard me talk about it before.

It’s one-half of the opportunity we’re looking at in corporate bonds today.

The other? The arrival of what I call “real” QE, in the form of rate cuts slated to start up in September.… Read more

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This Steady 14% Dividend Will Crush Stocks Well Into 2025

Stock market predictions, of course, are just that—predictions. All of them (including mine!) should be taken with a grain of salt.

I normally prefer to avoid making them. But every now and then I partake because, well, the prediction game is fun! And we do need some kind of forecast to work from when it comes to buying stocks—and our favorite income plays: 8%+ yielding closed-end funds (CEFs).

The key, of course, is knowing when to stick to your forecasts and when to change tack. So as we move past the August 5 correction and toward the final third of 2024, it’s a good time to check in on a couple predictions I made back in January and see how they’re playing out.… Read more

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These Big Dividends (Up to 11%) Are Primed to Soar in “Bond Rally 2”

At my CEF Insider service, we’ve been bullish on corporate bonds (especially corporate bond–focused closed-end funds yielding 8%+) for a long time now.

We remain so, because we’ve got a nice “goldilocks” setup for these funds right now:

  1. The US economy, while not booming at a rate that makes everyone happy, has steadily improved since the pandemic, prompting inflation to slow but remain elevated.
  2. The Federal Reserve, seeing this, is getting set to lower interest rates in late 2024, or possibly at some point next year.

These are both bullish signs for corporate bonds—and the closed-end funds that hold them. I’m sure I don’t have to tell you they were hit hard in 2022, resulting in an array of bargains.… Read more

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